OAKRaiders
4-4
24
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
69°F
5 mph
17
LACChargers
4-4
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
69°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
7
10
7
0
24
Chargers
3
0
14
0
17
Spread
+7
Total
UNDER
47.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
489
314
Total Plays
63
68
Yards / Play
7.8
4.6
EPA / Play
+0.16
-0.01
Passing Yards
298
239
Comp/Att
14/21(67%)
23/47(49%)
Yards / Pass
14.2
5.1
EPA / Pass
+0.51
-0.10
Rushing Yards
191
75
Rush Attempts
41
15
Yards / Rush
4.7
5.0
EPA / Rush
-0.01
-0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
20
Passing 1st downs
11
13
Rushing 1st downs
8
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
40%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
10
16
Red Zone %
33%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-9.01
-2.63
Sacks
1
6
Sack Yards
-1
-35
Sack EPA
-4.73
-5.56
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
45
31
Penalty EPA
-6.23
+1.09
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
-6.5
Current
-7.0
Model
-5.5
Win Probability
Market72.8%
Model67.5%
Spread Pick
Raiders+7.0
Expected Value
+8.1%
Cover Probability
53.1%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+87
Home nfelo
1,584
Away nfelo
1,499
Home Field
+34.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-32.6
Home QB Adjustment
-8.2
Away QB Adjustment
+24.4
Market Regression
+3.9
Final Difference
126.7
Model Spread
-5.5
Quarterbacks
C. Palmer
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+24.4
P. Rivers
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
-8.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
23
Yards / Game
9
16
Passing Yards / Game
26
10
Rushing Yards / Game
6
20
EPA
EPA / Play
10
29
EPA / Pass
13
28
EPA / Rush
8
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
25
Interceptions / Game
27
15
Fumbles / Game
6
31
Turnover EPA / Game
11
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
32
4th Down Efficiency
8
2
RZ Efficiency
23
26
Chargers Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
29
Yards / Game
6
29
Passing Yards / Game
16
16
Rushing Yards / Game
16
27
EPA
EPA / Play
4
30
EPA / Pass
4
25
EPA / Rush
12
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
30
Interceptions / Game
25
10
Fumbles / Game
12
26
Turnover EPA / Game
7
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
25
4th Down Efficiency
20
5
RZ Efficiency
10
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U
Chargers
5-5
SU
2-7-1
ATS
6-4
O/U