OAKRaiders
4-11
21
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
50°F
3 mph
24
LACChargers
6-9
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
50°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
0
7
0
14
21
Chargers
10
7
7
0
24
Spread
+8
Total
OVER
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
265
210
Total Plays
57
50
Yards / Play
4.6
4.2
EPA / Play
+0.07
+0.09
Passing Yards
--
140
Comp/Att
13/28(46%)
13/17(76%)
Yards / Pass
--
8.2
EPA / Pass
+0.08
+0.55
Rushing Yards
115
70
Rush Attempts
29
31
Yards / Rush
4.0
2.3
EPA / Rush
-0.04
-0.32
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
14
Passing 1st downs
9
9
Rushing 1st downs
5
3
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
53%
18%
3rd Down Conversions
8
2
3rd Down Attempts
15
11
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-4.51
--
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-11
Sack EPA
--
-2.61
Penalties
9
8
Penalty Yards
67
60
Penalty EPA
-10.48
-8.14
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
-10.0
Current
-8.0
Model
-8.0
Win Probability
Market75.7%
Model75.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+184
Home nfelo
1,509
Away nfelo
1,363
Home Field
+34.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+3.8
Home QB Adjustment
-22.3
Away QB Adjustment
-26.1
Market Regression
-35.4
Final Difference
197.4
Model Spread
-8.0
Quarterbacks
T. Pryor
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
-26.1
No recent game data available
P. Rivers
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
-22.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
15
Yards / Game
18
9
Passing Yards / Game
14
12
Rushing Yards / Game
29
5
EPA
EPA / Play
23
9
EPA / Pass
19
13
EPA / Rush
31
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
3
Interceptions / Game
18
18
Fumbles / Game
16
7
Turnover EPA / Game
15
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
29
4th Down Efficiency
31
8
RZ Efficiency
28
32
Chargers Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
28
Yards / Game
31
17
Passing Yards / Game
13
6
Rushing Yards / Game
28
17
EPA
EPA / Play
19
32
EPA / Pass
20
30
EPA / Rush
28
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
25
Interceptions / Game
14
23
Fumbles / Game
23
22
Turnover EPA / Game
18
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
18
4th Down Efficiency
14
24
RZ Efficiency
26
21
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
3-7
SU
2-8
ATS
4-6
O/U
Chargers
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
6-4
O/U