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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. raiders @ colts week 5, 2004

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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OAK logo
OAKRaiders
2-2
14
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
0
35
INDColts
3-1
IND logo
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
0
7
0
7
14
Colts
7
14
0
8
29

Game Statistics

General
Raiders logo
Colts logo
Total Yards
269
338
Total Plays
61
67
Yards / Play
4.4
5.0
EPA / Play
-0.11
+0.19
Passing Yards
216
188
Comp/Att
28/44(64%)
16/26(62%)
Yards / Pass
4.9
7.2
EPA / Pass
-0.32
+0.26
Rushing Yards
53
150
Rush Attempts
13
40
Yards / Rush
4.1
3.8
EPA / Rush
+0.05
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
Raiders logo
Colts logo
1st Downs
18
25
Passing 1st downs
11
12
Rushing 1st downs
6
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
5
3rd Down %
33%
55%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
11
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Raiders logo
Colts logo
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
3
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-13.93
-3.97
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-29
-10
Sack EPA
-4.70
-1.94
Penalties
9
2
Penalty Yards
59
--
Penalty EPA
-11.35
--

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
OAK logo
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Raiders Offense vs Colts Defense
Raiders logo
Colts logo

Total

Points / Game
19
19
Yards / Game
17
28
Passing Yards / Game
4
32
Rushing Yards / Game
32
26

EPA

EPA / Play
13
25
EPA / Pass
19
25
EPA / Rush
22
20

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
2
32
Interceptions / Game
29
12
Fumbles / Game
23
9
Turnover EPA / Game
9
16

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
21
25
4th Down Efficiency
14
8
RZ Efficiency
21
12
Colts Offense vs Raiders Defense
Colts logo
Raiders logo

Total

Points / Game
1
31
Yards / Game
2
30
Passing Yards / Game
15
15
Rushing Yards / Game
21
23

EPA

EPA / Play
1
31
EPA / Pass
1
32
EPA / Rush
7
12

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
29
27
Interceptions / Game
2
29
Fumbles / Game
9
25
Turnover EPA / Game
30
6

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
6
32
4th Down Efficiency
8
16
RZ Efficiency
3
32

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

OAK logo

Raiders

3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/23
-3
L
W
P
11/30
-14
L
L
P
12/07
-20
L
L
P
12/14
8
W
W
P
12/22
-34
L
L
P
12/28
-7
L
L
P
09/12
-3
L
W
P
09/19
3
W
L
P
09/26
10
W
W
P
10/03
-13
L
L
P
IND logo

Colts

7-3
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/14
31
W
W
P
12/21
-14
L
L
P
12/28
3
W
L
P
01/04
31
W
W
P
01/11
7
W
W
P
01/18
-10
L
L
P
09/09
-3
L
P
P
09/19
14
W
W
P
09/26
14
W
W
P
10/03
7
W
W
P