OAKRaiders
3-7
7
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
024
DALCowboys
7-3
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
0
0
7
0
7
Cowboys
3
14
0
7
24
Spread
-13.5
Total
UNDER
40.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
305
494
Total Plays
62
56
Yards / Play
4.9
8.8
EPA / Play
-0.11
+0.18
Passing Yards
181
299
Comp/Att
18/35(51%)
18/29(62%)
Yards / Pass
5.2
10.3
EPA / Pass
-0.26
+0.28
Rushing Yards
124
195
Rush Attempts
24
25
Yards / Rush
5.2
7.8
EPA / Rush
+0.09
+0.24
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
18
Passing 1st downs
8
12
Rushing 1st downs
6
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
29%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
4
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-0.28
--
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-19
-10
Sack EPA
-3.78
-3.35
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
70
48
Penalty EPA
-7.28
-5.60
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-15.0
Current
-13.5
Model
-14.0
Win Probability
Market86.2%
Model86.9%
Spread Pick
Cowboys-13.5
Expected Value
+5.5%
Cover Probability
55.2%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+371
Home nfelo
1,604
Away nfelo
1,336
Home Field
+84.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+18.2
Home QB Adjustment
+2.9
Away QB Adjustment
-15.3
Market Regression
-23.7
Final Difference
329.1
Model Spread
-14.0
Quarterbacks
B. Gradkowski
Proj. Value
-2.1
Team Elo Adj
-15.3
A. Romo
Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
+2.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
3
Yards / Game
31
10
Passing Yards / Game
26
23
Rushing Yards / Game
21
4
EPA
EPA / Play
29
8
EPA / Pass
30
17
EPA / Rush
22
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
13
Interceptions / Game
22
27
Fumbles / Game
32
5
Turnover EPA / Game
11
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
3
4th Down Efficiency
18
8
RZ Efficiency
29
26
Cowboys Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
23
Yards / Game
2
25
Passing Yards / Game
2
15
Rushing Yards / Game
6
29
EPA
EPA / Play
10
26
EPA / Pass
7
27
EPA / Rush
9
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
3
Interceptions / Game
3
31
Fumbles / Game
12
23
Turnover EPA / Game
29
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
7
4th Down Efficiency
31
28
RZ Efficiency
17
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U
Cowboys
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U