OAKRaiders
5-5
36
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
033
DALCowboys
7-3
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Raiders
14
3
10
6
3
36
Cowboys
6
7
6
14
0
33
Spread
+7
Total
OVER
51
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
509
439
Total Plays
77
70
Yards / Play
6.6
6.3
EPA / Play
+0.22
+0.10
Passing Yards
366
375
Comp/Att
24/39(62%)
32/48(67%)
Yards / Pass
9.4
7.8
EPA / Pass
+0.20
+0.17
Rushing Yards
143
64
Rush Attempts
35
21
Yards / Rush
4.1
3.0
EPA / Rush
-0.07
-0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
28
23
Passing 1st downs
14
13
Rushing 1st downs
7
6
Penalty 1st downs
7
4
3rd Down %
23%
23%
3rd Down Conversions
3
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
13
Red Zone %
40%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-7
-2
Sack EPA
-3.35
-1.68
Penalties
14
14
Penalty Yards
110
166
Penalty EPA
-12.41
-21.95
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-7.5
Current
-7.0
Model
-7.5
Win Probability
Market72.8%
Model75.0%
Spread Pick
Cowboys-7.0
Expected Value
+4.3%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+222
Home nfelo
1,613
Away nfelo
1,445
Home Field
+46.0
Base HFA
+39.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.7
Time Adj
-7.0
Net QB Adjustment
+8.4
Home QB Adjustment
+5.4
Away QB Adjustment
-3.0
Market Regression
-2.3
Final Difference
190.7
Model Spread
-7.5
Quarterbacks
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
-3.0
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
+5.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
8
Yards / Game
8
18
Passing Yards / Game
2
9
Rushing Yards / Game
28
20
EPA
EPA / Play
19
2
EPA / Pass
15
1
EPA / Rush
28
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
20
Interceptions / Game
17
1
Fumbles / Game
32
9
Turnover EPA / Game
11
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
2
4th Down Efficiency
7
25
RZ Efficiency
29
21
Cowboys Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
26
Yards / Game
2
14
Passing Yards / Game
7
11
Rushing Yards / Game
9
15
EPA
EPA / Play
6
28
EPA / Pass
4
28
EPA / Rush
20
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
11
Interceptions / Game
7
32
Fumbles / Game
12
26
Turnover EPA / Game
20
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
16
4th Down Efficiency
12
32
RZ Efficiency
5
32
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Cowboys
7-3
SU
8-2
ATS
5-5
O/U