nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. raiders @ cowboys week 13, 2013

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

OAK logo
OAKRaiders
4-7
24
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0
31
DALCowboys
6-5
DAL logo
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
1
14
0
3
18
Cowboys
7
7
7
10
31

Spread

OAK logo
+9.5

Total

OVER
49.5

Game Statistics

General
Raiders logo
Cowboys logo
Total Yards
305
352
Total Plays
55
64
Yards / Play
5.5
5.5
EPA / Play
-0.02
+0.06
Passing Yards
--
208
Comp/Att
18/30(60%)
23/32(72%)
Yards / Pass
--
6.5
EPA / Pass
+0.24
+0.16
Rushing Yards
50
144
Rush Attempts
25
30
Yards / Rush
2.0
4.8
EPA / Rush
-0.36
+0.12
Downs & Conversions
Raiders logo
Cowboys logo
1st Downs
16
23
Passing 1st downs
12
10
Rushing 1st downs
4
10
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
54%
54%
3rd Down Conversions
7
7
3rd Down Attempts
13
13
Red Zone %
100%
80%
Red Zone Conversions
2
4
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Raiders logo
Cowboys logo
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-10.14
-7.94
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-17
Sack EPA
--
-4.16
Penalties
10
6
Penalty Yards
71
40
Penalty EPA
-7.34
-3.80

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
DAL logo
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-9.5
Current
-9.5
Model
-9.5

Win Probability

Market78.5%
Model78.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+263
Home nfelo
1,516
Away nfelo
1,398
Home Field
+73.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+71.8
Home QB Adjustment
-9.5
Away QB Adjustment
-81.3
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
225.0
Model Spread
-9.5

Quarterbacks

M. McGloin headshot

M. McGloin

Proj. Value
-4.5
Team Elo Adj
-81.3
Value
Ptile
11/17
1.0
57
11/24
1.2
59
A. Romo headshot

A. Romo

Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
-9.5
Value
Ptile
09/15
3.3
72
09/22
4.4
80
09/29
2.9
70
10/06
11.8
98
10/13
-3.1
30
10/20
-3.2
29
10/27
1.7
62
11/03
2.2
66
11/10
-5.6
16
11/24
-2.7
34

Team Matchup Ranks

Raiders Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Raiders logo
Cowboys logo

Total

Points / Game
24
26
Yards / Game
23
32
Passing Yards / Game
30
25
Rushing Yards / Game
11
26

EPA

EPA / Play
24
25
EPA / Pass
24
24
EPA / Rush
16
28

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
14
26
Interceptions / Game
24
16
Fumbles / Game
27
5
Turnover EPA / Game
9
24

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
27
29
4th Down Efficiency
10
19
RZ Efficiency
5
28
Cowboys Offense vs Raiders Defense
Cowboys logo
Raiders logo

Total

Points / Game
5
29
Yards / Game
17
21
Passing Yards / Game
17
30
Rushing Yards / Game
25
11

EPA

EPA / Play
6
26
EPA / Pass
11
32
EPA / Rush
3
15

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
7
11
Interceptions / Game
9
31
Fumbles / Game
13
11
Turnover EPA / Game
25
14

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
26
28
4th Down Efficiency
5
6
RZ Efficiency
3
22

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

OAK logo

Raiders

4-6
SU
5-4-1
ATS
4-5-1
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/15
10
W
W
U
09/23
-16
L
P
O
09/29
-10
L
L
U
10/06
10
W
W
U
10/13
-17
L
L
U
10/27
3
W
W
U
11/03
-29
L
L
O
11/10
-4
L
W
O
11/17
5
W
W
O
11/24
-4
L
L
P
DAL logo

Cowboys

5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/15
-1
L
W
U
09/22
24
W
W
U
09/29
-9
L
L
O
10/06
-3
L
W
O
10/13
15
W
W
U
10/20
14
W
W
U
10/27
-1
L
W
O
11/03
4
W
L
U
11/10
-32
L
L
O
11/24
3
W
W
O