OAKRaiders
1-3
7
TBD
Giants Stadium
61°F
10 mph
44
NYGGiants
4-0
TBD
Giants Stadium
61°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
0
7
0
0
7
Giants
14
17
10
3
44
Spread
-15.5
Total
OVER
38
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
124
483
Total Plays
44
65
Yards / Play
2.8
7.4
EPA / Play
-0.31
+0.36
Passing Yards
64
--
Comp/Att
8/13(62%)
17/24(71%)
Yards / Pass
4.9
--
EPA / Pass
-1.34
+0.70
Rushing Yards
60
220
Rush Attempts
25
41
Yards / Rush
2.4
5.4
EPA / Rush
-0.11
+0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
7
27
Passing 1st downs
3
11
Rushing 1st downs
3
13
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
9%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
1
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
12
Red Zone %
100%
57%
Red Zone Conversions
1
4
Red Zone Attempts
1
7
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
4
0
Turnover EPA
-6.36
--
Sacks
6
--
Sack Yards
-36
--
Sack EPA
-16.55
--
Penalties
7
4
Penalty Yards
67
37
Penalty EPA
-7.16
-5.35
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-16.5
Current
-15.5
Model
-16.0
Win Probability
Market89.1%
Model89.6%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+408
Home nfelo
1,641
Away nfelo
1,397
Home Field
+117.8
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+33.5
Net QB Adjustment
+46.5
Home QB Adjustment
+17.5
Away QB Adjustment
-29.0
Market Regression
-15.7
Final Difference
373.8
Model Spread
-16.0
Quarterbacks
J. Russell
Proj. Value
-5.2
Team Elo Adj
-29.0
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+17.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
30
Yards / Game
31
13
Passing Yards / Game
26
13
Rushing Yards / Game
21
13
EPA
EPA / Play
29
30
EPA / Pass
30
23
EPA / Rush
22
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
20
Interceptions / Game
22
22
Fumbles / Game
32
12
Turnover EPA / Game
11
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
16
4th Down Efficiency
18
27
RZ Efficiency
29
32
Giants Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
23
Yards / Game
9
25
Passing Yards / Game
6
15
Rushing Yards / Game
17
29
EPA
EPA / Play
8
26
EPA / Pass
8
27
EPA / Rush
16
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
3
Interceptions / Game
10
31
Fumbles / Game
30
23
Turnover EPA / Game
12
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
7
4th Down Efficiency
9
28
RZ Efficiency
20
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
1-3-6
O/U
Giants
6-4
SU
6-3-1
ATS
2-1-7
O/U