OAKRaiders
3-5
20
TBD
MetLife Stadium
49°F
14 mph
24
NYGGiants
2-6
TBD
MetLife Stadium
49°F
14 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
10
1
3
0
14
Giants
1
7
7
3
18
Spread
+7
Total
OVER
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
213
251
Total Plays
55
63
Yards / Play
3.9
4.0
EPA / Play
-0.42
-0.34
Passing Yards
106
118
Comp/Att
11/26(42%)
12/22(55%)
Yards / Pass
4.1
5.4
EPA / Pass
-0.79
-0.48
Rushing Yards
107
133
Rush Attempts
25
38
Yards / Rush
4.3
3.5
EPA / Rush
+0.14
-0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
19
Passing 1st downs
4
8
Rushing 1st downs
8
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
17%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
2
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
33%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-11.40
-18.31
Sacks
4
3
Sack Yards
-16
-22
Sack EPA
-6.99
-4.86
Penalties
8
1
Penalty Yards
65
--
Penalty EPA
-8.10
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-7.0
Model
-8.0
Win Probability
Market72.8%
Model75.1%
Spread Pick
Giants-7.0
Expected Value
+7.0%
Cover Probability
51.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+227
Home nfelo
1,484
Away nfelo
1,371
Home Field
+135.8
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
+17.9
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+33.5
Net QB Adjustment
-22.4
Home QB Adjustment
-22.1
Away QB Adjustment
+0.3
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
192.3
Model Spread
-8.0
Quarterbacks
T. Pryor
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+0.3
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-22.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
17
Yards / Game
23
8
Passing Yards / Game
30
2
Rushing Yards / Game
11
12
EPA
EPA / Play
24
7
EPA / Pass
24
8
EPA / Rush
16
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
20
Interceptions / Game
24
12
Fumbles / Game
27
5
Turnover EPA / Game
9
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
22
4th Down Efficiency
10
3
RZ Efficiency
5
15
Giants Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
29
Yards / Game
29
21
Passing Yards / Game
13
30
Rushing Yards / Game
29
11
EPA
EPA / Play
32
26
EPA / Pass
28
32
EPA / Rush
32
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
11
Interceptions / Game
32
31
Fumbles / Game
31
11
Turnover EPA / Game
1
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
28
4th Down Efficiency
15
6
RZ Efficiency
30
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
3-7
SU
5-4-1
ATS
3-7
O/U
Giants
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U