OAKRaiders
4-5
13
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
018
DETLions
2-7
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
0
0
13
0
13
Lions
6
3
0
7
16
Spread
+1.5
Total
UNDER
50
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
216
375
Total Plays
47
70
Yards / Play
4.6
5.4
EPA / Play
-0.08
-0.04
Passing Yards
164
266
Comp/Att
13/25(52%)
22/35(63%)
Yards / Pass
6.6
7.6
EPA / Pass
-0.02
+0.17
Rushing Yards
52
109
Rush Attempts
21
31
Yards / Rush
2.5
3.5
EPA / Rush
-0.16
-0.28
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
22
Passing 1st downs
7
15
Rushing 1st downs
4
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
36%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
14
Red Zone %
100%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-5
-16
Sack EPA
-1.28
-5.17
Penalties
6
7
Penalty Yards
31
55
Penalty EPA
-4.70
-7.80
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
-1.5
Model
+2.0
Win Probability
Market53.6%
Model46.2%
Spread Pick
Lions+1.5
Expected Value
+2.5%
Cover Probability
53.7%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+68
Home nfelo
1,435
Away nfelo
1,452
Home Field
+116.5
Base HFA
+61.8
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.6
Time Adj
+33.1
Net QB Adjustment
-31.6
Home QB Adjustment
-0.2
Away QB Adjustment
+31.4
Market Regression
-3.5
Final Difference
26.7
Model Spread
-2.0
Quarterbacks
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
+31.4
J. Stafford
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
-0.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
23
Yards / Game
24
18
Passing Yards / Game
26
29
Rushing Yards / Game
28
20
EPA
EPA / Play
19
24
EPA / Pass
21
23
EPA / Rush
20
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
9
Interceptions / Game
17
26
Fumbles / Game
27
12
Turnover EPA / Game
12
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
24
4th Down Efficiency
27
26
RZ Efficiency
8
29
Lions Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
22
Yards / Game
18
22
Passing Yards / Game
9
19
Rushing Yards / Game
31
13
EPA
EPA / Play
15
19
EPA / Pass
16
14
EPA / Rush
19
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
21
Interceptions / Game
17
15
Fumbles / Game
11
15
Turnover EPA / Game
13
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
11
4th Down Efficiency
15
19
RZ Efficiency
2
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
7-2-1
O/U
Lions
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
5-5
O/U