OAKRaiders
1-10
0
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
052
LARRams
4-7
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
0
0
0
0
0
Rams
21
17
0
8
46
Spread
-6
Total
OVER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
244
348
Total Plays
75
49
Yards / Play
3.3
7.1
EPA / Play
-0.62
+0.22
Passing Yards
183
176
Comp/Att
29/48(60%)
13/22(59%)
Yards / Pass
3.8
8.0
EPA / Pass
-0.67
+0.14
Rushing Yards
61
172
Rush Attempts
21
26
Yards / Rush
2.9
6.6
EPA / Rush
-0.48
+0.14
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
17
Passing 1st downs
12
9
Rushing 1st downs
2
6
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
22%
13%
3rd Down Conversions
4
1
3rd Down Attempts
18
8
Red Zone %
NaN%
80%
Red Zone Conversions
--
4
Red Zone Attempts
--
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
5
0
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-26.74
--
Sacks
6
1
Sack Yards
-47
-7
Sack EPA
-13.75
-1.29
Penalties
8
8
Penalty Yards
73
60
Penalty EPA
-7.67
+1.27
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-6.0
Model
-8.0
Win Probability
Market69.3%
Model75.3%
Spread Pick
Rams-6.0
Expected Value
+17.9%
Cover Probability
59.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+236
Home nfelo
1,510
Away nfelo
1,389
Home Field
+106.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
+7.5
Home QB Adjustment
+3.2
Away QB Adjustment
-4.4
Market Regression
-8.6
Final Difference
193.3
Model Spread
-8.0
Quarterbacks
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
-4.4
S. Hill
Proj. Value
-1.4
Team Elo Adj
+3.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
16
Yards / Game
32
18
Passing Yards / Game
29
9
Rushing Yards / Game
32
14
EPA
EPA / Play
32
6
EPA / Pass
31
12
EPA / Rush
32
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
8
Interceptions / Game
19
19
Fumbles / Game
28
10
Turnover EPA / Game
3
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
15
4th Down Efficiency
3
1
RZ Efficiency
1
5
Rams Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
32
Yards / Game
27
20
Passing Yards / Game
25
10
Rushing Yards / Game
20
22
EPA
EPA / Play
28
25
EPA / Pass
28
27
EPA / Rush
29
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
26
Interceptions / Game
19
27
Fumbles / Game
22
30
Turnover EPA / Game
2
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
14
4th Down Efficiency
22
13
RZ Efficiency
22
16
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
1-9
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Rams
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U