OAKRaiders
5-7
16
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
017
LARRams
3-9
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
10
3
0
3
16
Rams
3
0
0
14
17
Spread
+5.5
Total
UNDER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
302
282
Total Plays
58
61
Yards / Play
5.2
4.6
EPA / Play
+0.04
-0.03
Passing Yards
--
211
Comp/Att
11/20(55%)
22/35(63%)
Yards / Pass
--
6.0
EPA / Pass
-0.04
+0.06
Rushing Yards
165
71
Rush Attempts
38
22
Yards / Rush
4.3
3.2
EPA / Rush
+0.06
-0.42
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
20
Passing 1st downs
6
12
Rushing 1st downs
8
3
Penalty 1st downs
3
5
3rd Down %
38%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
25%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-4.95
-4.85
Sacks
--
4
Sack Yards
--
-19
Sack EPA
--
-4.23
Penalties
7
7
Penalty Yards
94
60
Penalty EPA
-8.21
-6.11
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
-5.5
Current
-5.5
Model
-4.0
Win Probability
Market68.5%
Model65.4%
Spread Pick
Rams+5.5
Expected Value
+0.8%
Cover Probability
52.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-71
Home nfelo
1,487
Away nfelo
1,528
Home Field
+54.4
Base HFA
+40.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+14.1
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-85.5
Home QB Adjustment
-80.6
Away QB Adjustment
+4.9
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-110.6
Model Spread
+4.0
Quarterbacks
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
+4.9
B. Mayfield
Proj. Value
+3.0
Team Elo Adj
-80.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
20
Yards / Game
12
18
Passing Yards / Game
15
11
Rushing Yards / Game
17
13
EPA
EPA / Play
13
19
EPA / Pass
14
26
EPA / Rush
13
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
3
Interceptions / Game
28
7
Fumbles / Game
1
30
Turnover EPA / Game
8
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
21
4th Down Efficiency
9
31
RZ Efficiency
26
1
Rams Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
26
Yards / Game
32
27
Passing Yards / Game
26
5
Rushing Yards / Game
26
19
EPA
EPA / Play
27
25
EPA / Pass
27
30
EPA / Rush
19
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
25
Interceptions / Game
22
31
Fumbles / Game
11
25
Turnover EPA / Game
4
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
25
4th Down Efficiency
1
20
RZ Efficiency
14
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Rams
2-8
SU
4-5-1
ATS
4-6
O/U