OAKRaiders
0-1
26
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
76°F
10 mph
23
BALRavens
0-1
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
76°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
0
6
7
13
26
Ravens
3
6
7
7
23
Spread
+8.5
Total
OVER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
260
358
Total Plays
60
63
Yards / Play
4.3
5.7
EPA / Play
+0.04
-0.05
Passing Yards
233
232
Comp/Att
30/38(79%)
21/34(62%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
6.8
EPA / Pass
-0.06
+0.03
Rushing Yards
27
126
Rush Attempts
17
27
Yards / Rush
1.6
4.7
EPA / Rush
-0.43
-0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
21
Passing 1st downs
14
14
Rushing 1st downs
1
5
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
33%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
4
3
3rd Down Attempts
12
11
Red Zone %
67%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.38
-5.05
Sacks
5
2
Sack Yards
-43
-15
Sack EPA
-8.83
-2.58
Penalties
3
11
Penalty Yards
--
109
Penalty EPA
--
-13.63
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-9.5
Current
-8.5
Model
-8.5
Win Probability
Market76.8%
Model76.8%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+232
Home nfelo
1,613
Away nfelo
1,473
Home Field
+71.8
Base HFA
+46.8
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+25.1
Net QB Adjustment
+19.3
Home QB Adjustment
+17.1
Away QB Adjustment
-2.1
Market Regression
-17.0
Final Difference
207.9
Model Spread
-8.5
Quarterbacks
G. Minshew
Proj. Value
-1.6
Team Elo Adj
-2.1
L. Jackson
Proj. Value
+5.8
Team Elo Adj
+17.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
8
Yards / Game
27
8
Passing Yards / Game
9
32
Rushing Yards / Game
32
1
EPA
EPA / Play
31
19
EPA / Pass
24
11
EPA / Rush
32
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
30
Interceptions / Game
26
21
Fumbles / Game
29
29
Turnover EPA / Game
3
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
20
4th Down Efficiency
16
2
RZ Efficiency
26
14
Ravens Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
25
Yards / Game
1
12
Passing Yards / Game
13
27
Rushing Yards / Game
1
12
EPA
EPA / Play
1
12
EPA / Pass
1
26
EPA / Rush
1
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
9
Interceptions / Game
1
22
Fumbles / Game
15
31
Turnover EPA / Game
27
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
17
4th Down Efficiency
15
31
RZ Efficiency
1
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
5-5
SU
7-2-1
ATS
4-6
O/U
Ravens
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
4-4-2
O/U