nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. raiders @ ravens week 2, 2024

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

OAK logo
OAKRaiders
0-1
26
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
76°F
10 mph
23
BALRavens
0-1
BAL logo
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
76°F
10 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
0
6
7
13
26
Ravens
3
6
7
7
23

Spread

OAK logo
+8.5

Total

OVER
42.5

Game Statistics

General
Raiders logo
Ravens logo
Total Yards
260
358
Total Plays
60
63
Yards / Play
4.3
5.7
EPA / Play
+0.04
-0.05
Passing Yards
233
232
Comp/Att
30/38(79%)
21/34(62%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
6.8
EPA / Pass
-0.06
+0.03
Rushing Yards
27
126
Rush Attempts
17
27
Yards / Rush
1.6
4.7
EPA / Rush
-0.43
-0.06
Downs & Conversions
Raiders logo
Ravens logo
1st Downs
18
21
Passing 1st downs
14
14
Rushing 1st downs
1
5
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
33%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
4
3
3rd Down Attempts
12
11
Red Zone %
67%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Raiders logo
Ravens logo
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.38
-5.05
Sacks
5
2
Sack Yards
-43
-15
Sack EPA
-8.83
-2.58
Penalties
3
11
Penalty Yards
--
109
Penalty EPA
--
-13.63

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
BAL logo
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-9.5
Current
-8.5
Model
-8.5

Win Probability

Market76.8%
Model76.8%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+229
Home nfelo
1,608
Away nfelo
1,470
Home Field
+71.7
Base HFA
+46.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+25.1
Net QB Adjustment
+19.3
Home QB Adjustment
+17.2
Away QB Adjustment
-2.1
Market Regression
-17.0
Final Difference
207.9
Model Spread
-8.5

Quarterbacks

G. Minshew headshot

G. Minshew

Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
-2.1
Value
Ptile
11/05
-2.2
34
11/12
-2.3
33
11/26
-2.8
31
12/03
2.1
64
12/10
-1.9
36
12/16
1.8
61
12/24
-9.3
4
12/31
0.1
50
01/06
-4.0
24
09/08
-2.0
34
L. Jackson headshot

L. Jackson

Proj. Value
+0.7
Team Elo Adj
+17.2
Value
Ptile
11/12
-2.4
33
11/16
4.1
76
11/26
-1.7
38
12/10
5.9
86
12/17
-0.6
45
12/25
5.9
86
12/31
13.5
99
01/20
10.5
98
01/28
-1.1
43
09/05
9.7
96

Team Matchup Ranks

Raiders Offense vs Ravens Defense
Raiders logo
Ravens logo

Total

Points / Game
29
8
Yards / Game
27
8
Passing Yards / Game
9
32
Rushing Yards / Game
32
1

EPA

EPA / Play
31
19
EPA / Pass
24
11
EPA / Rush
32
3

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
11
30
Interceptions / Game
26
21
Fumbles / Game
29
29
Turnover EPA / Game
3
10

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
30
20
4th Down Efficiency
16
2
RZ Efficiency
26
14
Ravens Offense vs Raiders Defense
Ravens logo
Raiders logo

Total

Points / Game
3
25
Yards / Game
1
12
Passing Yards / Game
13
27
Rushing Yards / Game
1
12

EPA

EPA / Play
1
12
EPA / Pass
1
26
EPA / Rush
1
10

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
31
9
Interceptions / Game
1
22
Fumbles / Game
15
31
Turnover EPA / Game
27
5

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
2
17
4th Down Efficiency
15
31
RZ Efficiency
1
22

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

OAK logo

Raiders

5-5
SU
7-2-1
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/05
24
W
W
U
11/12
4
W
W
U
11/19
-7
L
W
U
11/26
-14
L
L
O
12/10
-3
L
P
U
12/14
42
W
W
O
12/25
6
W
W
U
12/31
-3
L
W
O
01/07
13
W
W
O
09/08
-12
L
L
U
BAL logo

Ravens

7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
4-4-2
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/16
14
W
W
O
11/26
10
W
W
U
12/10
6
W
L
O
12/17
16
W
W
U
12/25
14
W
W
O
12/31
37
W
W
O
01/06
-7
L
L
U
01/20
24
W
W
P
01/28
-7
L
L
U
09/05
-7
L
L
P