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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. raiders @ ravens week 8, 2008

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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nfelo

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    +EV NFL Sides
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    Historic nfelo model performance

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    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
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    Projected and realized opponent quality
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    Win total projections and results

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    QB Elo model adjusted for era

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OAK logo
OAKRaiders
2-4
10
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
65°F
6 mph
29
BALRavens
3-3
BAL logo
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
65°F
6 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
0
0
10
0
10
Ravens
0
17
3
7
27

Game Statistics

General
Raiders logo
Ravens logo
Total Yards
234
375
Total Plays
56
71
Yards / Play
4.2
5.3
EPA / Play
-0.26
+0.06
Passing Yards
187
--
Comp/Att
15/33(45%)
13/25(52%)
Yards / Pass
5.7
--
EPA / Pass
-0.18
+0.11
Rushing Yards
47
192
Rush Attempts
19
46
Yards / Rush
2.5
4.2
EPA / Rush
-0.31
+0.07
Downs & Conversions
Raiders logo
Ravens logo
1st Downs
10
18
Passing 1st downs
8
6
Rushing 1st downs
2
12
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
15%
56%
3rd Down Conversions
2
10
3rd Down Attempts
13
18
Red Zone %
33%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Raiders logo
Ravens logo
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-1.77
-4.26
Sacks
4
--
Sack Yards
-41
--
Sack EPA
-7.82
--
Penalties
2
8
Penalty Yards
10
52
Penalty EPA
-1.84
-5.90

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
OAK logo
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Raiders Offense vs Ravens Defense
Raiders logo
Ravens logo

Total

Points / Game
29
3
Yards / Game
29
2
Passing Yards / Game
27
24
Rushing Yards / Game
10
3

EPA

EPA / Play
28
1
EPA / Pass
29
1
EPA / Rush
31
1

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
17
17
Interceptions / Game
4
1
Fumbles / Game
29
15
Turnover EPA / Game
21
32

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
32
3
4th Down Efficiency
23
1
RZ Efficiency
29
1
Ravens Offense vs Raiders Defense
Ravens logo
Raiders logo

Total

Points / Game
15
24
Yards / Game
23
27
Passing Yards / Game
28
8
Rushing Yards / Game
6
31

EPA

EPA / Play
24
23
EPA / Pass
21
21
EPA / Rush
17
31

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
24
9
Interceptions / Game
10
11
Fumbles / Game
11
26
Turnover EPA / Game
19
7

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
18
28
4th Down Efficiency
8
28
RZ Efficiency
25
23

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

OAK logo

Raiders

2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/09
-31
L
L
P
12/16
-7
L
W
P
12/23
-38
L
L
P
12/30
-13
L
L
P
09/08
-27
L
L
P
09/14
15
W
W
P
09/21
-1
L
W
P
09/28
-10
L
L
P
10/12
-31
L
L
P
10/19
3
W
W
P
BAL logo

Ravens

4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/09
-24
L
L
P
12/16
-6
L
L
P
12/23
-21
L
L
P
12/30
6
W
W
P
09/07
7
W
W
P
09/21
18
W
W
P
09/29
-3
L
W
P
10/05
-3
L
L
P
10/12
-28
L
L
P
10/19
14
W
W
P