OAKRaiders
0-7
24
TBD
Lumen Field
54°F
9 mph
30
SEASeahawks
4-3
TBD
Lumen Field
54°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
3
0
8
7
18
Seahawks
8
10
0
6
24
Spread
+13.5
Total
OVER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
226
326
Total Plays
60
74
Yards / Play
3.8
4.4
EPA / Play
-0.26
-0.15
Passing Yards
189
177
Comp/Att
24/41(59%)
17/35(49%)
Yards / Pass
4.6
5.1
EPA / Pass
-0.16
-0.11
Rushing Yards
37
149
Rush Attempts
18
38
Yards / Rush
2.1
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.37
+0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
21
Passing 1st downs
13
9
Rushing 1st downs
2
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
4
3rd Down %
33%
39%
3rd Down Conversions
5
7
3rd Down Attempts
15
18
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-16.85
--
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-5
-2
Sack EPA
-1.84
-1.01
Penalties
5
9
Penalty Yards
--
65
Penalty EPA
--
-4.31
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-15.0
Current
-13.5
Model
-14.5
Win Probability
Market86.2%
Model87.8%
Spread Pick
Seahawks-13.5
Expected Value
+11.6%
Cover Probability
58.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+383
Home nfelo
1,647
Away nfelo
1,359
Home Field
+84.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+10.1
Home QB Adjustment
+16.6
Away QB Adjustment
+6.5
Market Regression
-9.8
Final Difference
343.0
Model Spread
-14.5
Quarterbacks
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+6.5
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
+16.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
1
Yards / Game
32
1
Passing Yards / Game
29
6
Rushing Yards / Game
32
4
EPA
EPA / Play
32
4
EPA / Pass
31
4
EPA / Rush
32
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
12
Interceptions / Game
19
13
Fumbles / Game
28
15
Turnover EPA / Game
3
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
16
4th Down Efficiency
3
28
RZ Efficiency
1
22
Seahawks Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
32
Yards / Game
8
20
Passing Yards / Game
13
10
Rushing Yards / Game
1
22
EPA
EPA / Play
8
25
EPA / Pass
10
27
EPA / Rush
1
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
26
Interceptions / Game
5
27
Fumbles / Game
9
30
Turnover EPA / Game
31
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
14
4th Down Efficiency
29
13
RZ Efficiency
19
16
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
0-10
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U
Seahawks
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
5-4-1
O/U