OAKRaiders
4-3
35
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
54°F
5 mph
38
PITSteelers
4-4
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
54°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
7
7
7
14
35
Steelers
3
18
0
17
38
Spread
+6
Total
OVER
47.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
440
599
Total Plays
69
82
Yards / Play
6.4
7.3
EPA / Play
+0.12
+0.11
Passing Yards
--
404
Comp/Att
24/44(55%)
28/51(55%)
Yards / Pass
--
7.9
EPA / Pass
+0.17
+0.13
Rushing Yards
139
195
Rush Attempts
25
30
Yards / Rush
5.6
6.5
EPA / Rush
-0.02
+0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
27
Passing 1st downs
17
16
Rushing 1st downs
6
9
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
43%
35%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
17
Red Zone %
75%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
3
4
Red Zone Attempts
4
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
5
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
4
0
Turnover EPA
-10.50
-2.46
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-11
Sack EPA
--
-2.38
Penalties
3
5
Penalty Yards
21
42
Penalty EPA
-1.98
-3.04
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
-6.0
Current
-6.0
Model
-8.0
Win Probability
Market69.3%
Model75.2%
Spread Pick
Steelers-6.0
Expected Value
+17.9%
Cover Probability
59.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+235
Home nfelo
1,571
Away nfelo
1,430
Home Field
+95.0
Base HFA
+61.8
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+33.2
Net QB Adjustment
-0.2
Home QB Adjustment
+29.5
Away QB Adjustment
+29.7
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
193.0
Model Spread
-8.0
Quarterbacks
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
+29.7
B. Roethlisberger
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+29.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
9
Yards / Game
24
19
Passing Yards / Game
26
30
Rushing Yards / Game
28
5
EPA
EPA / Play
19
9
EPA / Pass
21
13
EPA / Rush
20
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
18
Interceptions / Game
17
8
Fumbles / Game
27
2
Turnover EPA / Game
12
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
15
4th Down Efficiency
27
4
RZ Efficiency
8
6
Steelers Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
22
Yards / Game
3
22
Passing Yards / Game
13
19
Rushing Yards / Game
14
13
EPA
EPA / Play
9
19
EPA / Pass
12
14
EPA / Rush
7
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
21
Interceptions / Game
29
15
Fumbles / Game
7
15
Turnover EPA / Game
16
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
11
4th Down Efficiency
29
19
RZ Efficiency
13
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
8-2
O/U
Steelers
5-5
SU
6-3-1
ATS
1-9
O/U