OAKRaiders
6-8
10
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
9°F
21 mph
13
PITSteelers
6-8
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
9°F
21 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
7
3
0
0
10
Steelers
0
3
0
10
13
Spread
-2.5
Total
UNDER
38.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
201
350
Total Plays
52
66
Yards / Play
3.9
5.3
EPA / Play
-0.21
-0.13
Passing Yards
143
--
Comp/Att
16/30(53%)
26/39(67%)
Yards / Pass
4.8
--
EPA / Pass
-0.18
+0.04
Rushing Yards
58
106
Rush Attempts
19
27
Yards / Rush
3.1
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.20
-0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
19
Passing 1st downs
9
13
Rushing 1st downs
4
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
50%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
3
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-9.53
-5.88
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-31
--
Sack EPA
-5.41
--
Penalties
2
3
Penalty Yards
--
35
Penalty EPA
--
-1.58
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PITSteelersFavored
Opening
-1.5
Current
-2.5
Model
+0.5
Win Probability
Market56.1%
Model49.2%
Spread Pick
Raiders+2.5
Expected Value
+2.8%
Cover Probability
53.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-44
Home nfelo
1,487
Away nfelo
1,522
Home Field
+19.1
Base HFA
+41.2
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-22.1
Net QB Adjustment
-28.2
Home QB Adjustment
-32.0
Away QB Adjustment
-3.8
Market Regression
+8.9
Final Difference
-5.3
Model Spread
+0.5
Quarterbacks
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
-3.8
K. Pickett
Proj. Value
-1.5
Team Elo Adj
-32.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
10
Yards / Game
12
11
Passing Yards / Game
15
8
Rushing Yards / Game
17
9
EPA
EPA / Play
13
24
EPA / Pass
14
29
EPA / Rush
13
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
18
Interceptions / Game
28
1
Fumbles / Game
1
31
Turnover EPA / Game
8
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
16
4th Down Efficiency
9
26
RZ Efficiency
26
16
Steelers Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
26
Yards / Game
23
27
Passing Yards / Game
20
5
Rushing Yards / Game
16
19
EPA
EPA / Play
19
25
EPA / Pass
16
30
EPA / Rush
11
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
25
Interceptions / Game
17
31
Fumbles / Game
1
25
Turnover EPA / Game
26
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
25
4th Down Efficiency
3
20
RZ Efficiency
24
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U
Steelers
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
4-6
O/U