OAKRaiders
3-6
28
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
023
HOUTexans
2-7
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
14
0
14
0
28
Texans
0
11
0
6
17
Spread
+10.5
Total
OVER
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
341
394
Total Plays
65
72
Yards / Play
5.2
5.5
EPA / Play
-0.17
-0.25
Passing Yards
176
304
Comp/Att
18/32(56%)
25/49(51%)
Yards / Pass
5.5
6.2
EPA / Pass
-0.04
-0.31
Rushing Yards
165
90
Rush Attempts
31
21
Yards / Rush
5.3
4.3
EPA / Rush
+0.02
-0.23
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
14
Passing 1st downs
8
10
Rushing 1st downs
4
3
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
28%
13%
3rd Down Conversions
5
2
3rd Down Attempts
18
16
Red Zone %
100%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
3
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-10.56
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-21
-21
Sack EPA
-2.60
-4.23
Penalties
8
9
Penalty Yards
77
50
Penalty EPA
-3.65
-6.99
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
HOUTexansFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-10.5
Model
-10.5
Win Probability
Market80.6%
Model80.6%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+256
Home nfelo
1,541
Away nfelo
1,386
Home Field
+84.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
+15.9
Home QB Adjustment
-91.4
Away QB Adjustment
-107.3
Market Regression
+29.8
Final Difference
247.4
Model Spread
-10.5
Quarterbacks
M. McGloin
Proj. Value
-4.5
Team Elo Adj
-107.3
No recent game data available
C. Keenum
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
-91.4
Value
Ptile
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
25
Yards / Game
23
6
Passing Yards / Game
30
10
Rushing Yards / Game
11
23
EPA
EPA / Play
24
19
EPA / Pass
24
28
EPA / Rush
16
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
17
Interceptions / Game
24
32
Fumbles / Game
27
31
Turnover EPA / Game
9
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
7
4th Down Efficiency
10
8
RZ Efficiency
5
32
Texans Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
29
Yards / Game
13
21
Passing Yards / Game
6
30
Rushing Yards / Game
20
11
EPA
EPA / Play
30
26
EPA / Pass
29
32
EPA / Rush
22
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
11
Interceptions / Game
28
31
Fumbles / Game
13
11
Turnover EPA / Game
3
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
28
4th Down Efficiency
26
6
RZ Efficiency
26
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
3-7
SU
6-3-1
ATS
4-6
O/U
Texans
2-8
SU
2-8
ATS
7-3
O/U