OAKRaiders
12-4
14
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
027
HOUTexans
9-7
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
7
0
0
7
14
Texans
10
10
0
7
27
Spread
-4
Total
OVER
37.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
203
291
Total Plays
69
69
Yards / Play
2.9
4.2
EPA / Play
-0.36
-0.16
Passing Yards
139
--
Comp/Att
18/45(40%)
14/25(56%)
Yards / Pass
3.1
--
EPA / Pass
-0.50
+0.02
Rushing Yards
64
123
Rush Attempts
21
44
Yards / Rush
3.0
2.8
EPA / Rush
-0.13
-0.25
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
19
Passing 1st downs
11
9
Rushing 1st downs
3
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
13%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
2
4
3rd Down Attempts
16
15
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-10.19
--
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-22
--
Sack EPA
-5.40
--
Penalties
8
7
Penalty Yards
63
65
Penalty EPA
-12.28
-7.21
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
HOUTexansFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-4.0
Model
-4.0
Win Probability
Market64.7%
Model64.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+61
Home nfelo
1,427
Away nfelo
1,532
Home Field
+67.0
Base HFA
+57.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.0
Time Adj
-10.3
Net QB Adjustment
+93.8
Home QB Adjustment
-5.1
Away QB Adjustment
-98.9
Market Regression
+62.7
Final Difference
105.3
Model Spread
-4.0
Quarterbacks
C. Cook
Proj. Value
-4.4
Team Elo Adj
-98.9
No recent game data available
B. Osweiler
Proj. Value
-2.8
Team Elo Adj
-5.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
12
Yards / Game
10
1
Passing Yards / Game
26
7
Rushing Yards / Game
6
11
EPA
EPA / Play
15
3
EPA / Pass
17
4
EPA / Rush
17
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
22
Interceptions / Game
9
13
Fumbles / Game
15
25
Turnover EPA / Game
26
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
7
4th Down Efficiency
20
3
RZ Efficiency
13
16
Texans Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
20
Yards / Game
29
24
Passing Yards / Game
28
19
Rushing Yards / Game
7
23
EPA
EPA / Play
31
14
EPA / Pass
29
21
EPA / Rush
26
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
31
Interceptions / Game
25
11
Fumbles / Game
10
7
Turnover EPA / Game
11
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
13
4th Down Efficiency
29
3
RZ Efficiency
31
26
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
7-3
O/U
Texans
5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
3-7
O/U