OAKRaiders
-
26
TBD
Nissan Stadium
72°F
7 mph
16
TENTitans
-
TBD
Nissan Stadium
72°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
7
6
3
10
26
Titans
7
3
3
3
16
Spread
+2.5
Total
UNDER
49.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
359
350
Total Plays
63
63
Yards / Play
5.7
5.6
EPA / Play
+0.31
+0.08
Passing Yards
250
255
Comp/Att
22/32(69%)
25/41(61%)
Yards / Pass
7.8
6.2
EPA / Pass
+0.29
+0.11
Rushing Yards
109
95
Rush Attempts
29
21
Yards / Rush
3.8
4.5
EPA / Rush
+0.00
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
21
Passing 1st downs
16
15
Rushing 1st downs
5
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
42%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
5
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
67%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-12
-1
Sack EPA
-3.05
-1.01
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
49
49
Penalty EPA
-5.75
-6.64
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
TENTitansFavored
Opening
+1.0
Current
-2.5
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market56.1%
Model56.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+38
Home nfelo
1,490
Away nfelo
1,523
Home Field
+77.9
Base HFA
+57.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+20.6
Net QB Adjustment
-6.7
Home QB Adjustment
+4.1
Away QB Adjustment
+10.7
Market Regression
+30.1
Final Difference
42.6
Model Spread
-2.5
Quarterbacks
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
+10.7
M. Mariota
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+4.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
19
Yards / Game
18
15
Passing Yards / Game
30
29
Rushing Yards / Game
25
4
EPA
EPA / Play
15
23
EPA / Pass
16
23
EPA / Rush
22
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
13
Interceptions / Game
20
23
Fumbles / Game
31
17
Turnover EPA / Game
13
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
18
4th Down Efficiency
27
26
RZ Efficiency
8
17
Titans Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
20
Yards / Game
21
24
Passing Yards / Game
23
23
Rushing Yards / Game
9
11
EPA
EPA / Play
18
31
EPA / Pass
24
31
EPA / Rush
10
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
30
Interceptions / Game
26
32
Fumbles / Game
11
18
Turnover EPA / Game
7
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
25
4th Down Efficiency
8
30
RZ Efficiency
16
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
7-3
O/U
Titans
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U