OAKRaiders
1-1
17
TBD
Nissan Stadium
89°F
2 mph
10
TENTitans
1-1
TBD
Nissan Stadium
89°F
2 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
7
10
0
0
17
Titans
3
0
7
0
10
Spread
-1.5
Total
UNDER
47
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
368
393
Total Plays
61
63
Yards / Play
6.0
6.2
EPA / Play
+0.00
-0.15
Passing Yards
245
212
Comp/Att
21/35(60%)
17/33(52%)
Yards / Pass
7.0
6.4
EPA / Pass
+0.18
-0.29
Rushing Yards
123
181
Rush Attempts
25
29
Yards / Rush
4.9
6.2
EPA / Rush
-0.08
+0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
19
Passing 1st downs
13
9
Rushing 1st downs
4
10
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
38%
17%
3rd Down Conversions
5
2
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
100%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-4.39
-7.65
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-4
-2
Sack EPA
-1.78
-1.06
Penalties
8
8
Penalty Yards
58
70
Penalty EPA
-7.10
-4.94
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
-1.5
Model
+0.5
Win Probability
Market53.6%
Model49.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+33
Home nfelo
1,440
Away nfelo
1,476
Home Field
+78.0
Base HFA
+57.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+20.6
Net QB Adjustment
-9.1
Home QB Adjustment
+6.0
Away QB Adjustment
+15.1
Market Regression
-1.3
Final Difference
5.4
Model Spread
-0.5
Quarterbacks
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
+15.1
M. Mariota
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+6.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
16
Yards / Game
10
20
Passing Yards / Game
26
24
Rushing Yards / Game
6
4
EPA
EPA / Play
15
20
EPA / Pass
17
23
EPA / Rush
17
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
25
Interceptions / Game
9
20
Fumbles / Game
15
30
Turnover EPA / Game
26
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
8
4th Down Efficiency
20
18
RZ Efficiency
13
7
Titans Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
20
Yards / Game
11
24
Passing Yards / Game
31
19
Rushing Yards / Game
3
23
EPA
EPA / Play
13
14
EPA / Pass
13
21
EPA / Rush
11
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
31
Interceptions / Game
12
11
Fumbles / Game
16
7
Turnover EPA / Game
17
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
13
4th Down Efficiency
30
3
RZ Efficiency
1
26
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
4-4-2
O/U
Titans
2-8
SU
1-8-1
ATS
5-4-1
O/U