OAKRaiders
4-6
24
TBD
Nissan Stadium
56°F
4 mph
21
TENTitans
2-8
TBD
Nissan Stadium
56°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
7
3
7
7
24
Titans
6
0
8
7
21
Spread
-1
Total
PUSH
45
P
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
407
251
Total Plays
69
58
Yards / Play
5.9
4.3
EPA / Play
+0.05
-0.04
Passing Yards
323
207
Comp/Att
24/38(63%)
17/38(45%)
Yards / Pass
8.5
5.4
EPA / Pass
+0.36
-0.19
Rushing Yards
84
44
Rush Attempts
30
18
Yards / Rush
2.8
2.4
EPA / Rush
-0.33
-0.15
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
19
Passing 1st downs
15
10
Rushing 1st downs
6
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
6
3rd Down %
53%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
8
3
3rd Down Attempts
15
12
Red Zone %
75%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-10.51
-4.80
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-7
-13
Sack EPA
-1.52
-3.62
Penalties
11
4
Penalty Yards
94
25
Penalty EPA
-11.02
-4.50
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
-2.0
Current
-1.0
Model
-1.0
Win Probability
Market52.3%
Model52.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+5
Home nfelo
1,368
Away nfelo
1,448
Home Field
+83.3
Base HFA
+61.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+21.9
Net QB Adjustment
+1.6
Home QB Adjustment
+24.7
Away QB Adjustment
+23.1
Market Regression
+2.2
Final Difference
-16.0
Model Spread
+1.0
Quarterbacks
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
+23.1
M. Mariota
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+24.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
27
Yards / Game
24
12
Passing Yards / Game
26
15
Rushing Yards / Game
28
18
EPA
EPA / Play
19
23
EPA / Pass
21
28
EPA / Rush
20
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
1
Interceptions / Game
17
20
Fumbles / Game
27
29
Turnover EPA / Game
12
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
25
4th Down Efficiency
27
5
RZ Efficiency
8
26
Titans Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
22
Yards / Game
30
22
Passing Yards / Game
22
19
Rushing Yards / Game
25
13
EPA
EPA / Play
31
19
EPA / Pass
30
14
EPA / Rush
25
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
21
Interceptions / Game
24
15
Fumbles / Game
32
15
Turnover EPA / Game
5
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
11
4th Down Efficiency
22
19
RZ Efficiency
5
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
6-3-1
O/U
Titans
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U