OAKRaiders
1-1
14
TBD
U.S. Bank Stadium
70°F
034
MINVikings
1-1
TBD
U.S. Bank Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
0
7
0
7
14
Vikings
7
14
7
6
34
Spread
-9
Total
OVER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
302
385
Total Plays
58
59
Yards / Play
5.2
6.5
EPA / Play
-0.13
+0.28
Passing Yards
214
--
Comp/Att
27/34(79%)
15/21(71%)
Yards / Pass
6.3
--
EPA / Pass
+0.00
+0.38
Rushing Yards
88
211
Rush Attempts
20
38
Yards / Rush
4.4
5.6
EPA / Rush
-0.14
+0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
23
Passing 1st downs
14
8
Rushing 1st downs
3
10
Penalty 1st downs
--
5
3rd Down %
27%
56%
3rd Down Conversions
3
5
3rd Down Attempts
11
9
Red Zone %
50%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-5.37
--
Sacks
4
--
Sack Yards
-28
--
Sack EPA
-7.75
--
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
84
59
Penalty EPA
-12.53
-5.93
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
-7.5
Current
-9.0
Model
-9.0
Win Probability
Market77.7%
Model77.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+236
Home nfelo
1,548
Away nfelo
1,401
Home Field
+97.3
Base HFA
+57.0
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.9
Time Adj
+20.4
Net QB Adjustment
-7.7
Home QB Adjustment
-9.6
Away QB Adjustment
-1.8
Market Regression
+12.1
Final Difference
216.8
Model Spread
-9.0
Quarterbacks
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
-1.8
K. Cousins
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
-9.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
6
Yards / Game
12
13
Passing Yards / Game
24
24
Rushing Yards / Game
13
17
EPA
EPA / Play
14
5
EPA / Pass
6
6
EPA / Rush
21
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
23
Interceptions / Game
7
3
Fumbles / Game
18
3
Turnover EPA / Game
15
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
19
4th Down Efficiency
7
22
RZ Efficiency
22
2
Vikings Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
24
Yards / Game
19
19
Passing Yards / Game
32
16
Rushing Yards / Game
8
6
EPA
EPA / Play
10
31
EPA / Pass
9
31
EPA / Rush
12
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
27
Interceptions / Game
7
29
Fumbles / Game
25
30
Turnover EPA / Game
21
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
26
4th Down Efficiency
16
32
RZ Efficiency
10
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
3-6-1
O/U
Vikings
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
2-8
O/U