LARRams
0-1
19
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
88°F
8 mph
17
TBBuccaneers
0-1
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
88°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
7
3
3
6
19
Buccaneers
7
0
7
3
17
Spread
+4.5
Total
UNDER
37.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
339
332
Total Plays
60
52
Yards / Play
5.7
6.4
EPA / Play
+0.16
+0.09
Passing Yards
220
175
Comp/Att
22/29(76%)
16/21(76%)
Yards / Pass
7.6
8.3
EPA / Pass
+0.43
+0.12
Rushing Yards
119
157
Rush Attempts
29
30
Yards / Rush
4.1
5.2
EPA / Rush
-0.21
+0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
18
Passing 1st downs
14
7
Rushing 1st downs
6
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
45%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
11
8
Red Zone %
33%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-5.19
-4.40
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-15
-4
Sack EPA
-3.16
-1.98
Penalties
5
4
Penalty Yards
--
30
Penalty EPA
--
-2.91
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-4.5
Model
-6.0
Win Probability
Market66.1%
Model68.9%
Spread Pick
Buccaneers-4.5
Expected Value
+0.9%
Cover Probability
52.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+175
Home nfelo
1,447
Away nfelo
1,476
Home Field
+73.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+130.8
Home QB Adjustment
+14.7
Away QB Adjustment
-116.0
Market Regression
+4.4
Final Difference
138.5
Model Spread
-6.0
Quarterbacks
A. Davis
Proj. Value
-5.4
Team Elo Adj
-116.0
No recent game data available
J. McCown
Proj. Value
-2.0
Team Elo Adj
+14.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
25
Yards / Game
27
24
Passing Yards / Game
25
24
Rushing Yards / Game
20
18
EPA
EPA / Play
28
24
EPA / Pass
28
28
EPA / Rush
29
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
3
Interceptions / Game
19
16
Fumbles / Game
22
10
Turnover EPA / Game
2
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
27
4th Down Efficiency
22
24
RZ Efficiency
22
29
Buccaneers Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
16
Yards / Game
30
18
Passing Yards / Game
14
9
Rushing Yards / Game
29
14
EPA
EPA / Play
29
6
EPA / Pass
27
12
EPA / Rush
25
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
8
Interceptions / Game
31
19
Fumbles / Game
22
10
Turnover EPA / Game
6
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
15
4th Down Efficiency
29
1
RZ Efficiency
18
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
3-7
O/U
Buccaneers
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U