LARRams
2-1
17
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
013
ARICardinals
1-2
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
7
3
0
7
17
Cardinals
0
10
3
0
13
Spread
+9.5
Total
UNDER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
288
420
Total Plays
55
75
Yards / Play
5.2
5.6
EPA / Play
-0.15
-0.20
Passing Yards
247
302
Comp/Att
18/30(60%)
27/47(57%)
Yards / Pass
8.2
6.4
EPA / Pass
+0.11
-0.10
Rushing Yards
41
118
Rush Attempts
23
25
Yards / Rush
1.8
4.7
EPA / Rush
-0.41
-0.23
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
26
Passing 1st downs
10
17
Rushing 1st downs
1
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
43%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
5
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-5.73
-18.57
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-19
-23
Sack EPA
-7.66
-9.25
Penalties
9
6
Penalty Yards
84
45
Penalty EPA
-5.97
-7.75
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-10.0
Current
-9.5
Model
-8.0
Win Probability
Market78.5%
Model75.1%
Spread Pick
Rams+9.5
Expected Value
+5.1%
Cover Probability
55.1%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+119
Home nfelo
1,604
Away nfelo
1,525
Home Field
+31.4
Base HFA
+57.2
Divisional Adj
-25.8
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+8.0
Home QB Adjustment
-10.6
Away QB Adjustment
-18.6
Market Regression
-9.1
Final Difference
191.9
Model Spread
-8.0
Quarterbacks
C. Keenum
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
-18.6
C. Palmer
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
-10.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
14
Yards / Game
32
2
Passing Yards / Game
23
18
Rushing Yards / Game
31
9
EPA
EPA / Play
32
2
EPA / Pass
32
3
EPA / Rush
31
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
7
Interceptions / Game
30
14
Fumbles / Game
16
5
Turnover EPA / Game
1
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
14
4th Down Efficiency
28
13
RZ Efficiency
24
17
Cardinals Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
22
Yards / Game
8
9
Passing Yards / Game
5
13
Rushing Yards / Game
17
16
EPA
EPA / Play
20
17
EPA / Pass
21
18
EPA / Rush
20
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
2
Interceptions / Game
26
22
Fumbles / Game
29
20
Turnover EPA / Game
7
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
10
4th Down Efficiency
14
32
RZ Efficiency
5
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
2-8
O/U
Cardinals
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
3-7
O/U