LARRams
1-6
13
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
019
ARICardinals
1-6
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
3
6
0
0
9
Cardinals
3
0
3
7
13
Spread
-1
Total
UNDER
41.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
383
262
Total Plays
75
55
Yards / Play
5.1
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.15
-0.08
Passing Yards
233
192
Comp/Att
23/36(64%)
20/35(57%)
Yards / Pass
6.5
5.5
EPA / Pass
-0.09
-0.08
Rushing Yards
150
70
Rush Attempts
35
17
Yards / Rush
4.3
4.1
EPA / Rush
-0.10
-0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
16
Passing 1st downs
10
10
Rushing 1st downs
11
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
21%
20%
3rd Down Conversions
3
2
3rd Down Attempts
14
10
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-1.66
--
Sacks
4
3
Sack Yards
-22
-30
Sack EPA
-6.18
-4.50
Penalties
9
6
Penalty Yards
71
45
Penalty EPA
-7.06
-4.87
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-1.0
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market52.2%
Model56.0%
Spread Pick
Cardinals-1.0
Expected Value
+5.0%
Cover Probability
54.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+85
Home nfelo
1,420
Away nfelo
1,369
Home Field
+67.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-34.0
Home QB Adjustment
-45.4
Away QB Adjustment
-11.4
Market Regression
-46.9
Final Difference
41.8
Model Spread
-2.5
Quarterbacks
S. Bradford
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
-11.4
J. Skelton
Proj. Value
-4.6
Team Elo Adj
-45.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
16
Yards / Game
31
18
Passing Yards / Game
21
23
Rushing Yards / Game
23
21
EPA
EPA / Play
32
7
EPA / Pass
31
8
EPA / Rush
32
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
2
Interceptions / Game
3
26
Fumbles / Game
27
12
Turnover EPA / Game
13
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
1
4th Down Efficiency
24
23
RZ Efficiency
31
2
Cardinals Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
25
Yards / Game
19
21
Passing Yards / Game
9
14
Rushing Yards / Game
24
31
EPA
EPA / Play
28
16
EPA / Pass
26
20
EPA / Rush
9
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
1
Interceptions / Game
27
23
Fumbles / Game
12
29
Turnover EPA / Game
4
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
18
4th Down Efficiency
4
29
RZ Efficiency
14
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
2-8
SU
2-8
ATS
4-5-1
O/U
Cardinals
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
6-4
O/U