LARRams
3-6
31
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
017
ARICardinals
4-6
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
0
8
8
3
19
Cardinals
7
10
0
0
17
Spread
+1.5
Total
OVER
36
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
367
375
Total Plays
54
77
Yards / Play
6.8
4.9
EPA / Play
-0.08
-0.29
Passing Yards
194
301
Comp/Att
8/18(44%)
31/52(60%)
Yards / Pass
10.8
5.8
EPA / Pass
+0.13
-0.37
Rushing Yards
173
74
Rush Attempts
34
23
Yards / Rush
5.1
3.2
EPA / Rush
+0.01
-0.23
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
24
Passing 1st downs
8
16
Rushing 1st downs
6
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
27%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
11
13
Red Zone %
0%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
4
Interceptions
1
4
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-5.94
-25.94
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-11
-11
Sack EPA
-3.05
-2.58
Penalties
10
7
Penalty Yards
84
56
Penalty EPA
-9.52
-6.43
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
-1.5
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market53.2%
Model54.9%
Spread Pick
Cardinals-1.5
Expected Value
+4.1%
Cover Probability
54.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+81
Home nfelo
1,427
Away nfelo
1,385
Home Field
+67.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-28.4
Home QB Adjustment
-14.5
Away QB Adjustment
+13.9
Market Regression
-6.1
Final Difference
34.3
Model Spread
-2.5
Quarterbacks
S. Bradford
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
+13.9
R. Lindley
Proj. Value
-6.1
Team Elo Adj
-14.5
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
17
Yards / Game
22
11
Passing Yards / Game
16
15
Rushing Yards / Game
20
28
EPA
EPA / Play
25
2
EPA / Pass
18
2
EPA / Rush
22
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
1
Interceptions / Game
12
2
Fumbles / Game
9
12
Turnover EPA / Game
16
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
3
4th Down Efficiency
15
13
RZ Efficiency
19
3
Cardinals Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
14
Yards / Game
32
13
Passing Yards / Game
18
18
Rushing Yards / Game
32
15
EPA
EPA / Play
32
13
EPA / Pass
32
9
EPA / Rush
32
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
20
Interceptions / Game
32
11
Fumbles / Game
25
32
Turnover EPA / Game
6
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
13
4th Down Efficiency
22
6
RZ Efficiency
31
9
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
3-6-1
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Cardinals
4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
2-8
O/U