LARRams
5-6
19
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
06
ARICardinals
3-8
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
3
6
7
3
19
Cardinals
6
0
0
0
6
Spread
-3.5
Total
UNDER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
288
224
Total Plays
67
52
Yards / Play
4.3
4.3
EPA / Play
-0.01
-0.34
Passing Yards
169
119
Comp/Att
18/29(62%)
11/29(38%)
Yards / Pass
5.8
4.1
EPA / Pass
-0.02
-0.59
Rushing Yards
119
105
Rush Attempts
36
19
Yards / Rush
3.3
5.5
EPA / Rush
-0.25
-0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
14
Passing 1st downs
11
9
Rushing 1st downs
5
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
35%
9%
3rd Down Conversions
6
1
3rd Down Attempts
17
11
Red Zone %
0%
NaN%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
--
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.43
-6.71
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-18
-29
Sack EPA
-3.65
-6.11
Penalties
2
6
Penalty Yards
15
54
Penalty EPA
-1.18
-7.26
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.5
Model
-1.5
Win Probability
Market62.9%
Model53.9%
Spread Pick
Cardinals+3.5
Expected Value
+14.7%
Cover Probability
60.1%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+25
Home nfelo
1,387
Away nfelo
1,386
Home Field
+67.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-42.9
Home QB Adjustment
-17.5
Away QB Adjustment
+25.4
Market Regression
-10.8
Final Difference
-27.3
Model Spread
+1.5
Quarterbacks
S. Bradford
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
+25.4
D. Anderson
Proj. Value
-3.3
Team Elo Adj
-17.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
30
Yards / Game
27
28
Passing Yards / Game
16
27
Rushing Yards / Game
25
30
EPA
EPA / Play
30
14
EPA / Pass
26
19
EPA / Rush
29
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
2
Interceptions / Game
13
11
Fumbles / Game
1
2
Turnover EPA / Game
19
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
11
4th Down Efficiency
11
21
RZ Efficiency
31
1
Cardinals Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
11
Yards / Game
31
18
Passing Yards / Game
22
18
Rushing Yards / Game
32
17
EPA
EPA / Play
31
5
EPA / Pass
31
7
EPA / Rush
25
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
18
Interceptions / Game
21
19
Fumbles / Game
22
10
Turnover EPA / Game
5
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
3
4th Down Efficiency
24
19
RZ Efficiency
29
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
5-5
SU
8-2
ATS
5-5
O/U
Cardinals
2-8
SU
2-8
ATS
7-3
O/U