LARRams
11-3
31
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
09
ARICardinals
3-11
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
7
14
3
7
31
Cardinals
3
6
0
0
9
Spread
-14
Total
UNDER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
461
263
Total Plays
67
53
Yards / Play
6.9
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.29
-0.15
Passing Yards
192
159
Comp/Att
19/24(79%)
18/31(58%)
Yards / Pass
8.0
5.1
EPA / Pass
+0.18
-0.17
Rushing Yards
269
104
Rush Attempts
41
18
Yards / Rush
6.6
5.8
EPA / Rush
+0.36
-0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
33
15
Passing 1st downs
11
6
Rushing 1st downs
18
6
Penalty 1st downs
4
3
3rd Down %
67%
18%
3rd Down Conversions
6
2
3rd Down Attempts
9
11
Red Zone %
75%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
3
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-7.00
--
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-24
-23
Sack EPA
-9.23
-5.99
Penalties
6
7
Penalty Yards
66
54
Penalty EPA
-7.01
-7.29
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-14.0
Current
-14.0
Model
-14.0
Win Probability
Market87.0%
Model87.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-332
Home nfelo
1,324
Away nfelo
1,646
Home Field
+42.4
Base HFA
+58.3
Divisional Adj
-26.3
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+10.4
Net QB Adjustment
-52.5
Home QB Adjustment
-52.1
Away QB Adjustment
+0.3
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-330.2
Model Spread
+14.0
Quarterbacks
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+2.3
Team Elo Adj
+0.3
J. Rosen
Proj. Value
-5.8
Team Elo Adj
-52.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
26
Yards / Game
3
21
Passing Yards / Game
9
14
Rushing Yards / Game
3
32
EPA
EPA / Play
3
14
EPA / Pass
5
12
EPA / Rush
3
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
4
Interceptions / Game
12
29
Fumbles / Game
6
15
Turnover EPA / Game
28
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
16
4th Down Efficiency
19
24
RZ Efficiency
19
22
Cardinals Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
18
Yards / Game
32
20
Passing Yards / Game
28
15
Rushing Yards / Game
32
17
EPA
EPA / Play
32
17
EPA / Pass
32
10
EPA / Rush
30
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
26
Interceptions / Game
28
5
Fumbles / Game
22
6
Turnover EPA / Game
3
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
6
4th Down Efficiency
32
21
RZ Efficiency
8
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
7-3
SU
2-7-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Cardinals
3-7
SU
4-5-1
ATS
6-4
O/U