LARRams
5-5
17
TBD
FedExField
55°F
7 mph
20
WASCommanders
4-6
TBD
FedExField
55°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
7
3
0
7
17
Commanders
0
7
13
0
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
364
362
Total Plays
69
63
Yards / Play
5.3
5.7
EPA / Play
+0.11
+0.14
Passing Yards
280
--
Comp/Att
34/49(69%)
16/24(67%)
Yards / Pass
5.7
--
EPA / Pass
+0.19
+0.44
Rushing Yards
84
127
Rush Attempts
17
39
Yards / Rush
4.9
3.3
EPA / Rush
+0.08
+0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
21
Passing 1st downs
18
11
Rushing 1st downs
5
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
69%
58%
3rd Down Conversions
9
7
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
50%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-6.64
--
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-21
--
Sack EPA
-6.63
--
Penalties
8
4
Penalty Yards
65
40
Penalty EPA
-9.73
-2.85
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
19
Yards / Game
10
4
Passing Yards / Game
4
16
Rushing Yards / Game
30
12
EPA
EPA / Play
25
6
EPA / Pass
20
6
EPA / Rush
29
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
12
Interceptions / Game
32
22
Fumbles / Game
27
9
Turnover EPA / Game
1
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
6
4th Down Efficiency
8
3
RZ Efficiency
12
2
Commanders Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
22
Yards / Game
21
10
Passing Yards / Game
18
18
Rushing Yards / Game
12
15
EPA
EPA / Play
26
11
EPA / Pass
23
18
EPA / Rush
17
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
5
Interceptions / Game
23
24
Fumbles / Game
25
11
Turnover EPA / Game
3
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
8
4th Down Efficiency
17
7
RZ Efficiency
6
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Commanders
4-6
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U