LARRams
1-1
7
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
031
DALCowboys
1-1
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
0
0
7
0
7
Cowboys
10
7
7
7
31
Spread
-3
Total
UNDER
47.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
232
396
Total Plays
67
59
Yards / Play
3.5
6.7
EPA / Play
-0.21
+0.18
Passing Yards
197
203
Comp/Att
29/49(59%)
17/24(71%)
Yards / Pass
4.0
8.5
EPA / Pass
-0.49
+0.46
Rushing Yards
35
193
Rush Attempts
12
34
Yards / Rush
2.9
5.7
EPA / Rush
-0.18
+0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
21
Passing 1st downs
11
12
Rushing 1st downs
3
8
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
8%
45%
3rd Down Conversions
1
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
11
Red Zone %
100%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
1
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
+1.48
--
Sacks
6
1
Sack Yards
-43
-7
Sack EPA
-10.13
-1.38
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
41
72
Penalty EPA
-2.73
-6.31
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model61.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+124
Home nfelo
1,512
Away nfelo
1,440
Home Field
+62.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-10.1
Home QB Adjustment
+10.1
Away QB Adjustment
+20.2
Market Regression
-11.3
Final Difference
77.4
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
S. Bradford
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
+20.2
T. Romo
Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
+10.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
26
Yards / Game
30
32
Passing Yards / Game
31
25
Rushing Yards / Game
19
26
EPA
EPA / Play
22
25
EPA / Pass
23
24
EPA / Rush
27
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
26
Interceptions / Game
8
16
Fumbles / Game
22
5
Turnover EPA / Game
17
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
29
4th Down Efficiency
27
19
RZ Efficiency
26
28
Cowboys Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
12
Yards / Game
17
15
Passing Yards / Game
17
28
Rushing Yards / Game
25
9
EPA
EPA / Play
6
9
EPA / Pass
11
17
EPA / Rush
3
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
24
Interceptions / Game
9
19
Fumbles / Game
13
1
Turnover EPA / Game
25
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
16
4th Down Efficiency
5
22
RZ Efficiency
3
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
5-4-1
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Cowboys
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U