LARRams
0-5
7
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
034
DALCowboys
2-3
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
0
7
0
0
7
Cowboys
7
10
3
14
34
Spread
-14
Total
UNDER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
265
445
Total Plays
55
60
Yards / Play
4.8
7.4
EPA / Play
-0.21
+0.27
Passing Yards
195
151
Comp/Att
20/33(61%)
14/24(58%)
Yards / Pass
5.9
6.3
EPA / Pass
-0.36
+0.22
Rushing Yards
70
294
Rush Attempts
21
34
Yards / Rush
3.3
8.6
EPA / Rush
-0.25
+0.26
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
24
Passing 1st downs
8
10
Rushing 1st downs
4
12
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
38%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
8
Red Zone %
50%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-7.29
-5.30
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-1
-15
Sack EPA
-3.14
-2.50
Penalties
4
6
Penalty Yards
16
30
Penalty EPA
-2.29
-5.15
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-10.5
Current
-14.0
Model
-14.0
Win Probability
Market87.3%
Model87.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+275
Home nfelo
1,546
Away nfelo
1,385
Home Field
+62.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+51.6
Home QB Adjustment
+11.8
Away QB Adjustment
-39.8
Market Regression
+84.4
Final Difference
331.8
Model Spread
-14.0
Quarterbacks
A. Feeley
Proj. Value
-3.2
Team Elo Adj
-39.8
A. Romo
Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
+11.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
15
Yards / Game
31
14
Passing Yards / Game
21
17
Rushing Yards / Game
23
6
EPA
EPA / Play
32
17
EPA / Pass
31
18
EPA / Rush
32
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
14
Interceptions / Game
3
18
Fumbles / Game
27
12
Turnover EPA / Game
13
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
22
4th Down Efficiency
24
8
RZ Efficiency
31
22
Cowboys Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
25
Yards / Game
10
21
Passing Yards / Game
7
14
Rushing Yards / Game
17
31
EPA
EPA / Play
11
16
EPA / Pass
6
20
EPA / Rush
22
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
1
Interceptions / Game
7
23
Fumbles / Game
17
29
Turnover EPA / Game
24
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
18
4th Down Efficiency
9
29
RZ Efficiency
19
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
2-8
SU
2-8
ATS
3-6-1
O/U
Cowboys
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
7-3
O/U