nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. rams @ dolphins week 8, 2020

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

LAR logo
LARRams
5-2
17
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
86°F
10 mph
28
MIADolphins
3-3
MIA logo
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
86°F
10 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
7
3
0
7
17
Dolphins
7
9
0
0
16

Spread

MIA logo
+3.5

Total

UNDER
46.5

Game Statistics

General
Rams logo
Dolphins logo
Total Yards
471
145
Total Plays
92
48
Yards / Play
5.1
3.0
EPA / Play
-0.36
-0.46
Passing Yards
340
90
Comp/Att
35/61(57%)
12/22(55%)
Yards / Pass
5.6
4.1
EPA / Pass
-0.42
-0.46
Rushing Yards
131
55
Rush Attempts
29
25
Yards / Rush
4.5
2.2
EPA / Rush
+0.08
-0.52
Downs & Conversions
Rams logo
Dolphins logo
1st Downs
31
8
Passing 1st downs
19
5
Rushing 1st downs
11
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
41%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
7
3
3rd Down Attempts
17
12
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Rams logo
Dolphins logo
Turnovers
4
2
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
2
2
Turnover EPA
-27.91
-10.94
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-15
-3
Sack EPA
-17.95
-5.58
Penalties
5
3
Penalty Yards
45
30
Penalty EPA
-4.35
-2.63

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
LAR logo
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-6.5

Win Probability

Market62.9%
Model71.3%
Spread Pick
LAR logo
Rams-3.5
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+11.5%
Cover Probability
58.4%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-212
Home nfelo
1,438
Away nfelo
1,580
Home Field
+13.6
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
+1.8
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+2.2
Time Adj
+3.4
Net QB Adjustment
-83.1
Home QB Adjustment
-72.2
Away QB Adjustment
+10.9
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-158.1
Model Spread
+6.5

Quarterbacks

J. Goff headshot

J. Goff

Proj. Value
+1.6
Team Elo Adj
+10.9
Value
Ptile
12/15
0.4
54
12/21
3.6
76
12/29
4.2
79
09/13
-1.1
36
09/20
5.9
83
09/27
5.5
80
10/04
-0.5
43
10/11
4.0
73
10/18
-1.7
31
10/26
2.9
66
T. Tagovailoa headshot

T. Tagovailoa

Proj. Value
-1.5
Team Elo Adj
-72.2
No recent game data available

Team Matchup Ranks

Rams Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Rams logo
Dolphins logo

Total

Points / Game
22
4
Yards / Game
17
19
Passing Yards / Game
16
28
Rushing Yards / Game
11
16

EPA

EPA / Play
26
5
EPA / Pass
20
3
EPA / Rush
24
17

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
31
18
Interceptions / Game
16
1
Fumbles / Game
19
3
Turnover EPA / Game
9
32

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
14
1
4th Down Efficiency
28
9
RZ Efficiency
18
7
Dolphins Offense vs Rams Defense
Dolphins logo
Rams logo

Total

Points / Game
15
2
Yards / Game
23
1
Passing Yards / Game
17
3
Rushing Yards / Game
21
4

EPA

EPA / Play
17
1
EPA / Pass
17
1
EPA / Rush
25
2

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
23
23
Interceptions / Game
17
13
Fumbles / Game
12
16
Turnover EPA / Game
16
28

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
26
4
4th Down Efficiency
2
7
RZ Efficiency
16
12

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

LAR logo

Rams

6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/15
-23
L
L
O
12/21
-3
L
W
O
12/29
7
W
P
O
09/13
3
W
W
U
09/20
18
W
W
O
09/27
-3
L
L
O
10/04
8
W
L
U
10/11
20
W
W
U
10/18
-8
L
L
U
10/26
14
W
W
U
MIA logo

Dolphins

5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/08
-1
L
W
U
12/15
-16
L
L
O
12/22
3
W
W
O
12/29
3
W
W
O
09/13
-10
L
L
U
09/20
-3
L
W
O
09/24
18
W
W
U
10/04
-8
L
L
U
10/11
26
W
W
O
10/18
24
W
W
U