LARRams
5-2
17
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
86°F
10 mph
28
MIADolphins
3-3
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
86°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
7
3
0
7
17
Dolphins
7
9
0
0
16
Spread
+3.5
Total
UNDER
46.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
471
145
Total Plays
92
48
Yards / Play
5.1
3.0
EPA / Play
-0.36
-0.46
Passing Yards
340
90
Comp/Att
35/61(57%)
12/22(55%)
Yards / Pass
5.6
4.1
EPA / Pass
-0.42
-0.46
Rushing Yards
131
55
Rush Attempts
29
25
Yards / Rush
4.5
2.2
EPA / Rush
+0.08
-0.52
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
31
8
Passing 1st downs
19
5
Rushing 1st downs
11
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
41%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
7
3
3rd Down Attempts
17
12
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
2
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
2
2
Turnover EPA
-27.91
-10.94
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-15
-3
Sack EPA
-17.95
-5.58
Penalties
5
3
Penalty Yards
45
30
Penalty EPA
-4.35
-2.63
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-6.5
Win Probability
Market62.9%
Model71.3%
Spread Pick
Rams-3.5
Expected Value
+11.5%
Cover Probability
58.4%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-212
Home nfelo
1,438
Away nfelo
1,580
Home Field
+13.6
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
+1.8
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+2.2
Time Adj
+3.4
Net QB Adjustment
-83.1
Home QB Adjustment
-72.2
Away QB Adjustment
+10.9
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-158.1
Model Spread
+6.5
Quarterbacks
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+1.3
Team Elo Adj
+10.9
T. Tagovailoa
Proj. Value
+0.9
Team Elo Adj
-72.2
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
4
Yards / Game
17
19
Passing Yards / Game
16
28
Rushing Yards / Game
11
16
EPA
EPA / Play
26
5
EPA / Pass
20
3
EPA / Rush
24
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
18
Interceptions / Game
16
1
Fumbles / Game
19
3
Turnover EPA / Game
9
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
1
4th Down Efficiency
28
9
RZ Efficiency
18
7
Dolphins Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
2
Yards / Game
23
1
Passing Yards / Game
17
3
Rushing Yards / Game
21
4
EPA
EPA / Play
17
1
EPA / Pass
17
1
EPA / Rush
25
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
23
Interceptions / Game
17
13
Fumbles / Game
12
16
Turnover EPA / Game
16
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
4
4th Down Efficiency
2
7
RZ Efficiency
16
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Dolphins
5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
5-5
O/U