LARRams
1-2
28
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
59°F
16 mph
34
PHIEagles
3-1
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
59°F
16 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
0
7
7
14
28
Eagles
7
7
8
0
22
Spread
-4
Total
OVER
48
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
466
352
Total Plays
76
70
Yards / Play
6.1
5.0
EPA / Play
-0.11
-0.07
Passing Yards
341
--
Comp/Att
29/49(59%)
24/37(65%)
Yards / Pass
7.0
--
EPA / Pass
+0.05
+0.01
Rushing Yards
125
145
Rush Attempts
23
33
Yards / Rush
5.4
4.4
EPA / Rush
-0.13
-0.26
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
29
22
Passing 1st downs
21
13
Rushing 1st downs
7
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
50%
53%
3rd Down Conversions
7
8
3rd Down Attempts
14
15
Red Zone %
75%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
3
2
Turnover EPA
-20.07
-11.86
Sacks
4
--
Sack Yards
-34
--
Sack EPA
-14.79
--
Penalties
10
4
Penalty Yards
82
39
Penalty EPA
-10.49
-3.37
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-4.0
Model
-6.0
Win Probability
Market64.7%
Model68.9%
Spread Pick
Eagles-4.0
Expected Value
+4.0%
Cover Probability
52.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+174
Home nfelo
1,538
Away nfelo
1,497
Home Field
+46.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-48.6
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+86.1
Home QB Adjustment
+0.6
Away QB Adjustment
-85.5
Market Regression
-33.0
Final Difference
138.0
Model Spread
-6.0
Quarterbacks
A. Davis
Proj. Value
-5.4
Team Elo Adj
-85.5
Value
Ptile
N. Foles
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
+0.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
22
Yards / Game
27
28
Passing Yards / Game
25
7
Rushing Yards / Game
20
15
EPA
EPA / Play
28
7
EPA / Pass
28
17
EPA / Rush
29
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
19
Interceptions / Game
19
22
Fumbles / Game
22
1
Turnover EPA / Game
2
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
12
4th Down Efficiency
22
4
RZ Efficiency
22
20
Eagles Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
16
Yards / Game
4
18
Passing Yards / Game
19
9
Rushing Yards / Game
8
14
EPA
EPA / Play
14
6
EPA / Pass
15
12
EPA / Rush
21
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
8
Interceptions / Game
32
19
Fumbles / Game
31
10
Turnover EPA / Game
1
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
15
4th Down Efficiency
2
1
RZ Efficiency
24
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
3-7
O/U
Eagles
7-3
SU
4-6
ATS
5-4-1
O/U