LARRams
3-0
41
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
013
ATLFalcons
1-4
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
14
8
6
7
35
Falcons
0
10
0
3
13
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
283
316
Total Plays
49
58
Yards / Play
5.8
5.4
EPA / Play
+0.28
-0.36
Passing Yards
94
270
Comp/Att
13/20(65%)
20/36(56%)
Yards / Pass
4.7
7.5
EPA / Pass
-0.07
-0.33
Rushing Yards
189
46
Rush Attempts
28
19
Yards / Rush
6.8
2.4
EPA / Rush
+0.32
-0.38
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
16
Passing 1st downs
6
14
Rushing 1st downs
10
2
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
25%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
2
3
3rd Down Attempts
8
12
Red Zone %
60%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-5.71
-20.46
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-17
-24
Sack EPA
-2.91
-4.93
Penalties
8
10
Penalty Yards
45
83
Penalty EPA
-5.05
-5.99
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
25
Yards / Game
1
16
Passing Yards / Game
7
10
Rushing Yards / Game
12
29
EPA
EPA / Play
1
25
EPA / Pass
1
26
EPA / Rush
10
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
6
Interceptions / Game
10
28
Fumbles / Game
16
29
Turnover EPA / Game
17
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
22
4th Down Efficiency
7
13
RZ Efficiency
2
20
Falcons Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
4
Yards / Game
27
11
Passing Yards / Game
21
28
Rushing Yards / Game
30
2
EPA
EPA / Play
26
2
EPA / Pass
19
7
EPA / Rush
30
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
27
Interceptions / Game
20
3
Fumbles / Game
23
26
Turnover EPA / Game
8
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
13
4th Down Efficiency
20
22
RZ Efficiency
12
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
3-0
SU
3-0
ATS
0-0-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
Falcons
1-4
SU
2-3
ATS
0-0-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U