LARRams
8-6
19
TBD
MetLife Stadium
23°F
8 mph
9
NYJJets
4-10
TBD
MetLife Stadium
23°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
0
6
0
13
19
Jets
6
3
0
0
9
Spread
-3
Total
UNDER
47
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
242
321
Total Plays
50
63
Yards / Play
4.8
5.1
EPA / Play
+0.09
-0.16
Passing Yards
--
246
Comp/Att
14/19(74%)
28/42(67%)
Yards / Pass
--
5.9
EPA / Pass
+0.17
+0.07
Rushing Yards
132
75
Rush Attempts
31
20
Yards / Rush
4.3
3.8
EPA / Rush
-0.06
-0.24
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
17
Passing 1st downs
7
14
Rushing 1st downs
9
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
50%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
10
13
Red Zone %
40%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
+1.54
-4.83
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-10
Sack EPA
--
-4.83
Penalties
5
8
Penalty Yards
--
62
Penalty EPA
--
-6.88
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model55.4%
Spread Pick
Jets+3.0
Expected Value
+3.6%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-4
Home nfelo
1,501
Away nfelo
1,562
Home Field
+60.9
Base HFA
+39.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+21.3
Net QB Adjustment
-4.4
Home QB Adjustment
+5.1
Away QB Adjustment
+9.5
Market Regression
+7.9
Final Difference
-37.7
Model Spread
+2.5
Quarterbacks
J. Stafford
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+9.5
A. Rodgers
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+5.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
19
Yards / Game
14
5
Passing Yards / Game
31
4
Rushing Yards / Game
23
17
EPA
EPA / Play
14
24
EPA / Pass
12
19
EPA / Rush
27
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
17
Interceptions / Game
7
27
Fumbles / Game
11
7
Turnover EPA / Game
28
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
14
4th Down Efficiency
7
30
RZ Efficiency
25
19
Jets Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
15
Yards / Game
24
25
Passing Yards / Game
5
15
Rushing Yards / Game
31
28
EPA
EPA / Play
19
20
EPA / Pass
18
13
EPA / Rush
21
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
23
Interceptions / Game
11
15
Fumbles / Game
10
25
Turnover EPA / Game
17
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
18
4th Down Efficiency
28
6
RZ Efficiency
21
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
4-6
O/U
Jets
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
7-3
O/U