LARRams
11-6
18
TBD
Lambeau Field
35°F
13 mph
32
GBPackers
13-3
TBD
Lambeau Field
35°F
13 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
3
7
8
0
18
Packers
3
16
6
7
32
Spread
-7
Total
OVER
45
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
246
484
Total Plays
51
74
Yards / Play
4.8
6.5
EPA / Play
+0.06
+0.24
Passing Yards
150
--
Comp/Att
21/28(75%)
23/38(61%)
Yards / Pass
5.4
--
EPA / Pass
-0.03
+0.41
Rushing Yards
96
188
Rush Attempts
19
36
Yards / Rush
5.1
5.2
EPA / Rush
+0.19
+0.13
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
28
Passing 1st downs
11
15
Rushing 1st downs
6
12
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
25%
67%
3rd Down Conversions
2
8
3rd Down Attempts
8
12
Red Zone %
67%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
4
--
Sack Yards
-26
--
Sack EPA
-8.05
--
Penalties
3
3
Penalty Yards
35
22
Penalty EPA
-3.28
-2.97
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
GBPackersFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-7.0
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market72.8%
Model63.0%
Spread Pick
Rams+7.0
Expected Value
+15.6%
Cover Probability
57.6%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+29
Home nfelo
1,638
Away nfelo
1,645
Home Field
+9.1
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
+1.8
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+2.2
Time Adj
-1.1
Net QB Adjustment
+24.1
Home QB Adjustment
+28.3
Away QB Adjustment
+4.2
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
92.4
Model Spread
-3.5
Quarterbacks
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+2.5
Team Elo Adj
+4.2
A. Rodgers
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+28.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
15
Yards / Game
17
7
Passing Yards / Game
16
19
Rushing Yards / Game
11
10
EPA
EPA / Play
26
17
EPA / Pass
20
11
EPA / Rush
24
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
29
Interceptions / Game
16
15
Fumbles / Game
19
23
Turnover EPA / Game
9
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
14
4th Down Efficiency
28
19
RZ Efficiency
18
13
Packers Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
2
Yards / Game
3
1
Passing Yards / Game
24
3
Rushing Yards / Game
8
4
EPA
EPA / Play
1
1
EPA / Pass
1
1
EPA / Rush
5
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
23
Interceptions / Game
1
13
Fumbles / Game
7
16
Turnover EPA / Game
32
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
4
4th Down Efficiency
9
7
RZ Efficiency
1
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
3-7
O/U
Packers
8-2
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U