LARRams
2-4
16
TBD
Gillette Stadium
61°F
7 mph
23
NEPatriots
4-2
TBD
Gillette Stadium
61°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
3
7
3
3
16
Patriots
7
6
0
10
23
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
358
348
Total Plays
64
65
Yards / Play
5.6
5.4
EPA / Play
-0.07
-0.00
Passing Yards
268
250
Comp/Att
18/34(53%)
21/33(64%)
Yards / Pass
7.9
7.6
EPA / Pass
+0.09
+0.07
Rushing Yards
90
98
Rush Attempts
26
29
Yards / Rush
3.5
3.4
EPA / Rush
-0.07
-0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
23
Passing 1st downs
10
15
Rushing 1st downs
5
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
31%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
16
12
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-4.17
-8.83
Sacks
4
3
Sack Yards
-33
-17
Sack EPA
-4.29
-4.25
Penalties
9
--
Penalty Yards
63
--
Penalty EPA
-3.84
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
8
Yards / Game
27
10
Passing Yards / Game
15
12
Rushing Yards / Game
24
16
EPA
EPA / Play
32
20
EPA / Pass
31
27
EPA / Rush
29
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
5
Interceptions / Game
26
15
Fumbles / Game
25
22
Turnover EPA / Game
2
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
27
4th Down Efficiency
19
2
RZ Efficiency
32
32
Patriots Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
31
Yards / Game
5
28
Passing Yards / Game
4
20
Rushing Yards / Game
5
29
EPA
EPA / Play
2
28
EPA / Pass
9
24
EPA / Rush
1
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
5
Interceptions / Game
4
23
Fumbles / Game
12
9
Turnover EPA / Game
24
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
17
4th Down Efficiency
2
26
RZ Efficiency
18
30
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
7-3
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U