LARRams
0-1
14
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
72°F
6 mph
16
OAKRaiders
0-1
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
72°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
0
7
0
7
14
Raiders
0
3
10
3
16
Spread
+3
Total
UNDER
37.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
210
404
Total Plays
49
79
Yards / Play
4.3
5.1
EPA / Play
-0.13
-0.06
Passing Yards
135
231
Comp/Att
14/25(56%)
19/37(51%)
Yards / Pass
5.4
6.2
EPA / Pass
+0.00
+0.10
Rushing Yards
75
173
Rush Attempts
21
40
Yards / Rush
3.6
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.14
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
25
Passing 1st downs
9
14
Rushing 1st downs
3
6
Penalty 1st downs
4
5
3rd Down %
20%
41%
3rd Down Conversions
2
7
3rd Down Attempts
10
17
Red Zone %
67%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.60
-4.08
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-32
-18
Sack EPA
-5.16
-3.50
Penalties
8
12
Penalty Yards
92
90
Penalty EPA
-7.37
-9.71
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
-4.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+87
Home nfelo
1,328
Away nfelo
1,323
Home Field
+84.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-3.0
Home QB Adjustment
+12.8
Away QB Adjustment
+15.8
Market Regression
-39.9
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
S. Bradford
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
+15.8
Value
Ptile
J. Campbell
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+12.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
20
Yards / Game
27
11
Passing Yards / Game
16
9
Rushing Yards / Game
25
29
EPA
EPA / Play
30
19
EPA / Pass
26
11
EPA / Rush
29
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
6
Interceptions / Game
13
26
Fumbles / Game
1
22
Turnover EPA / Game
19
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
6
4th Down Efficiency
11
2
RZ Efficiency
31
17
Raiders Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
11
Yards / Game
10
18
Passing Yards / Game
18
18
Rushing Yards / Game
2
17
EPA
EPA / Play
11
5
EPA / Pass
22
7
EPA / Rush
5
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
18
Interceptions / Game
16
19
Fumbles / Game
22
10
Turnover EPA / Game
26
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
3
4th Down Efficiency
22
19
RZ Efficiency
18
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
1-9
SU
5-5
ATS
3-7
O/U
Raiders
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U