LARRams
10-6
28
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
031
NOSaints
10-6
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
7
0
0
21
28
Saints
0
10
7
14
31
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
386
301
Total Plays
59
62
Yards / Play
6.5
4.9
EPA / Play
+0.01
+0.03
Passing Yards
327
235
Comp/Att
24/40(60%)
16/28(57%)
Yards / Pass
8.2
8.4
EPA / Pass
+0.11
+0.33
Rushing Yards
34
50
Rush Attempts
17
32
Yards / Rush
2.0
1.6
EPA / Rush
-0.20
-0.46
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
17
Passing 1st downs
16
14
Rushing 1st downs
1
1
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
58%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
7
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
13
Red Zone %
75%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
3
Interceptions
3
1
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-16.45
-2.85
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-15
-15
Sack EPA
-3.04
-2.95
Penalties
9
5
Penalty Yards
60
40
Penalty EPA
-12.03
-7.12
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
14
Yards / Game
1
13
Passing Yards / Game
1
14
Rushing Yards / Game
18
9
EPA
EPA / Play
1
13
EPA / Pass
1
10
EPA / Rush
1
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
16
Interceptions / Game
29
9
Fumbles / Game
4
14
Turnover EPA / Game
6
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
24
4th Down Efficiency
5
6
RZ Efficiency
1
15
Saints Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
31
Yards / Game
12
23
Passing Yards / Game
9
30
Rushing Yards / Game
14
10
EPA
EPA / Play
13
29
EPA / Pass
8
27
EPA / Rush
15
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
11
Interceptions / Game
13
11
Fumbles / Game
18
22
Turnover EPA / Game
25
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
18
4th Down Efficiency
7
16
RZ Efficiency
14
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U