LARRams
-
0
TBD
Lumen Field
73°F
5 mph
28
SEASeahawks
-
TBD
Lumen Field
73°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
0
0
0
0
0
Seahawks
0
14
14
0
28
Spread
-7.5
Total
UNDER
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
247
446
Total Plays
57
70
Yards / Play
4.3
6.4
EPA / Play
-0.35
+0.12
Passing Yards
170
--
Comp/Att
17/36(47%)
25/36(69%)
Yards / Pass
4.7
--
EPA / Pass
-0.32
+0.22
Rushing Yards
77
167
Rush Attempts
18
34
Yards / Rush
4.3
4.9
EPA / Rush
-0.13
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
25
Passing 1st downs
7
17
Rushing 1st downs
4
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
17%
53%
3rd Down Conversions
2
8
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
0%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-4.71
-12.99
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-21
--
Sack EPA
-3.78
--
Penalties
10
4
Penalty Yards
85
--
Penalty EPA
-10.80
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-7.5
Model
-7.0
Win Probability
Market74.4%
Model71.9%
Spread Pick
Rams+7.5
Expected Value
+5.5%
Cover Probability
55.2%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+127
Home nfelo
1,443
Away nfelo
1,347
Home Field
+34.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-3.6
Home QB Adjustment
-14.1
Away QB Adjustment
-10.6
Market Regression
+1.0
Final Difference
162.9
Model Spread
-7.0
Quarterbacks
M. Bulger
Proj. Value
-3.0
Team Elo Adj
-10.6
M. Hasselbeck
Proj. Value
-2.7
Team Elo Adj
-14.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
25
Yards / Game
29
23
Passing Yards / Game
24
5
Rushing Yards / Game
19
14
EPA
EPA / Play
32
21
EPA / Pass
31
28
EPA / Rush
30
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
11
Interceptions / Game
29
22
Fumbles / Game
19
23
Turnover EPA / Game
2
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
18
4th Down Efficiency
29
15
RZ Efficiency
31
21
Seahawks Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
31
Yards / Game
21
29
Passing Yards / Game
7
6
Rushing Yards / Game
26
27
EPA
EPA / Play
25
31
EPA / Pass
24
30
EPA / Rush
31
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
7
Interceptions / Game
24
31
Fumbles / Game
22
7
Turnover EPA / Game
7
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
29
4th Down Efficiency
22
15
RZ Efficiency
30
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
0-10
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Seahawks
3-7
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U