LARRams
4-9
3
TBD
Lumen Field
36°F
5 mph
24
SEASeahawks
8-4
TBD
Lumen Field
36°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
0
3
0
0
3
Seahawks
0
10
7
7
24
Spread
-15.5
Total
UNDER
39.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
183
299
Total Plays
56
58
Yards / Play
3.3
5.2
EPA / Play
-0.33
+0.09
Passing Yards
136
227
Comp/Att
18/35(51%)
19/26(73%)
Yards / Pass
3.9
8.7
EPA / Pass
-0.47
+0.36
Rushing Yards
47
72
Rush Attempts
17
30
Yards / Rush
2.8
2.4
EPA / Rush
-0.41
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
18
Passing 1st downs
8
8
Rushing 1st downs
2
6
Penalty 1st downs
3
4
3rd Down %
25%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
3
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
0%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-3.00
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-31
-2
Sack EPA
-7.14
-1.53
Penalties
7
13
Penalty Yards
61
86
Penalty EPA
-8.02
-9.79
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-14.0
Current
-15.5
Model
-13.5
Win Probability
Market89.1%
Model86.8%
Spread Pick
Rams+15.5
Expected Value
+18.2%
Cover Probability
61.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+246
Home nfelo
1,613
Away nfelo
1,389
Home Field
+51.5
Base HFA
+57.4
Divisional Adj
-25.9
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.0
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-29.3
Home QB Adjustment
-23.9
Away QB Adjustment
+5.4
Market Regression
+17.1
Final Difference
327.8
Model Spread
-13.5
Quarterbacks
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+2.5
Team Elo Adj
+5.4
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
-23.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
2
Yards / Game
32
5
Passing Yards / Game
23
14
Rushing Yards / Game
31
6
EPA
EPA / Play
32
8
EPA / Pass
32
16
EPA / Rush
31
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
6
Interceptions / Game
30
25
Fumbles / Game
16
23
Turnover EPA / Game
1
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
12
4th Down Efficiency
28
5
RZ Efficiency
24
20
Seahawks Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
22
Yards / Game
15
9
Passing Yards / Game
4
13
Rushing Yards / Game
21
16
EPA
EPA / Play
14
17
EPA / Pass
10
18
EPA / Rush
21
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
2
Interceptions / Game
15
22
Fumbles / Game
6
20
Turnover EPA / Game
21
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
10
4th Down Efficiency
21
32
RZ Efficiency
26
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
2-8
SU
2-7-1
ATS
4-6
O/U
Seahawks
6-3-1
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U