LARRams
6-8
23
TBD
Lumen Field
37°F
017
SEASeahawks
9-5
TBD
Lumen Field
37°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
4
6
0
7
17
Seahawks
0
3
7
7
17
Spread
+11
Total
UNDER
42
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
205
312
Total Plays
53
67
Yards / Play
3.9
4.7
EPA / Play
-0.02
-0.16
Passing Yards
--
253
Comp/Att
14/23(61%)
25/41(61%)
Yards / Pass
--
6.2
EPA / Pass
+0.03
+0.26
Rushing Yards
102
59
Rush Attempts
30
22
Yards / Rush
3.4
2.7
EPA / Rush
+0.05
-1.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
18
Passing 1st downs
7
13
Rushing 1st downs
6
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
42%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
5
8
3rd Down Attempts
12
17
Red Zone %
100%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-12.71
Sacks
--
4
Sack Yards
--
-36
Sack EPA
--
-6.41
Penalties
5
10
Penalty Yards
60
83
Penalty EPA
-7.58
-8.33
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-13.5
Current
-11.0
Model
-11.5
Win Probability
Market81.7%
Model82.4%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+300
Home nfelo
1,665
Away nfelo
1,491
Home Field
+43.0
Base HFA
+59.1
Divisional Adj
-26.6
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+10.6
Net QB Adjustment
+83.4
Home QB Adjustment
+37.3
Away QB Adjustment
-46.1
Market Regression
-50.1
Final Difference
268.2
Model Spread
-11.5
Quarterbacks
C. Keenum
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
-46.1
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+37.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
3
Yards / Game
32
1
Passing Yards / Game
32
6
Rushing Yards / Game
7
3
EPA
EPA / Play
32
8
EPA / Pass
32
6
EPA / Rush
24
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
5
Interceptions / Game
10
19
Fumbles / Game
15
14
Turnover EPA / Game
21
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
7
4th Down Efficiency
31
2
RZ Efficiency
21
3
Seahawks Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
12
Yards / Game
8
23
Passing Yards / Game
18
18
Rushing Yards / Game
3
21
EPA
EPA / Play
3
6
EPA / Pass
1
10
EPA / Rush
12
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
32
Interceptions / Game
7
17
Fumbles / Game
5
5
Turnover EPA / Game
27
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
6
4th Down Efficiency
1
3
RZ Efficiency
15
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
2-8
O/U
Seahawks
7-3
SU
6-3-1
ATS
6-4
O/U