LARRams
7-8
6
TBD
Lumen Field
34°F
4 mph
16
SEASeahawks
6-9
TBD
Lumen Field
34°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
0
3
3
0
6
Seahawks
7
0
3
6
16
Spread
+3
Total
UNDER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
184
333
Total Plays
54
71
Yards / Play
3.4
4.7
EPA / Play
-0.33
-0.12
Passing Yards
137
--
Comp/Att
19/36(53%)
22/36(61%)
Yards / Pass
3.8
--
EPA / Pass
-0.33
-0.13
Rushing Yards
47
141
Rush Attempts
15
35
Yards / Rush
3.1
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.33
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
10
19
Passing 1st downs
8
9
Rushing 1st downs
1
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
14%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
2
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
15
Red Zone %
0%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-4.34
-5.76
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-18
--
Sack EPA
-1.59
--
Penalties
6
7
Penalty Yards
46
70
Penalty EPA
-7.04
-6.60
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
-3.0
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model56.6%
Spread Pick
Seahawks+3.0
Expected Value
+3.6%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-10
Home nfelo
1,351
Away nfelo
1,414
Home Field
+56.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
-4.4
Home QB Adjustment
+4.9
Away QB Adjustment
+9.3
Market Regression
-46.0
Final Difference
-46.0
Model Spread
+2.5
Quarterbacks
S. Bradford
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
+9.3
C. Whitehurst
Proj. Value
-3.6
Team Elo Adj
+4.9
Value
Ptile
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
27
Yards / Game
27
30
Passing Yards / Game
16
24
Rushing Yards / Game
25
21
EPA
EPA / Play
30
25
EPA / Pass
26
29
EPA / Rush
29
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
17
Interceptions / Game
13
27
Fumbles / Game
1
20
Turnover EPA / Game
19
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
26
4th Down Efficiency
11
7
RZ Efficiency
31
11
Seahawks Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
11
Yards / Game
26
18
Passing Yards / Game
25
18
Rushing Yards / Game
31
17
EPA
EPA / Play
22
5
EPA / Pass
24
7
EPA / Rush
24
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
18
Interceptions / Game
20
19
Fumbles / Game
12
10
Turnover EPA / Game
12
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
3
4th Down Efficiency
29
19
RZ Efficiency
26
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
4-6
O/U
Seahawks
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
8-2
O/U