LARRams
7-7
13
TBD
Lumen Field
41°F
1 mph
20
SEASeahawks
10-5
TBD
Lumen Field
41°F
1 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
0
7
3
3
13
Seahawks
0
3
10
7
20
Spread
+11
Total
UNDER
41.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
331
362
Total Plays
61
55
Yards / Play
5.4
6.6
EPA / Play
+0.06
+0.17
Passing Yards
--
209
Comp/Att
25/42(60%)
15/19(79%)
Yards / Pass
--
11.0
EPA / Pass
+0.07
+0.36
Rushing Yards
79
153
Rush Attempts
19
30
Yards / Rush
4.2
5.1
EPA / Rush
+0.06
+0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
17
Passing 1st downs
13
8
Rushing 1st downs
4
8
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
18%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
2
5
3rd Down Attempts
11
12
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-1.84
--
Sacks
--
6
Sack Yards
--
-41
Sack EPA
--
-8.35
Penalties
14
10
Penalty Yards
98
80
Penalty EPA
-6.80
-7.94
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-10.5
Current
-11.0
Model
-11.0
Win Probability
Market81.7%
Model81.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+266
Home nfelo
1,632
Away nfelo
1,438
Home Field
+45.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+25.8
Home QB Adjustment
+43.4
Away QB Adjustment
+17.5
Market Regression
+12.5
Final Difference
259.9
Model Spread
-11.0
Quarterbacks
S. Bradford
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
+17.5
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+43.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
1
Yards / Game
22
3
Passing Yards / Game
16
2
Rushing Yards / Game
20
11
EPA
EPA / Play
25
5
EPA / Pass
18
5
EPA / Rush
22
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
18
Interceptions / Game
12
6
Fumbles / Game
9
19
Turnover EPA / Game
16
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
21
4th Down Efficiency
15
2
RZ Efficiency
19
6
Seahawks Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
14
Yards / Game
14
13
Passing Yards / Game
23
18
Rushing Yards / Game
4
15
EPA
EPA / Play
2
13
EPA / Pass
4
9
EPA / Rush
5
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
20
Interceptions / Game
5
11
Fumbles / Game
22
32
Turnover EPA / Game
31
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
13
4th Down Efficiency
12
6
RZ Efficiency
15
9
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
4-5-1
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Seahawks
7-3
SU
8-2
ATS
8-2
O/U