LARRams
7-8
9
TBD
Lumen Field
40°F
5 mph
27
SEASeahawks
12-3
TBD
Lumen Field
40°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
0
0
3
6
9
Seahawks
1
6
7
7
21
Spread
-13
Total
UNDER
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
158
269
Total Plays
51
63
Yards / Play
3.1
4.3
EPA / Play
-0.27
+0.05
Passing Yards
145
158
Comp/Att
21/31(68%)
15/23(65%)
Yards / Pass
4.7
6.9
EPA / Pass
-0.35
+0.07
Rushing Yards
13
111
Rush Attempts
18
36
Yards / Rush
0.7
3.1
EPA / Rush
-0.32
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
11
18
Passing 1st downs
8
8
Rushing 1st downs
1
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
18%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
2
4
3rd Down Attempts
11
13
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-11.14
--
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-12
-14
Sack EPA
-3.22
-4.19
Penalties
9
7
Penalty Yards
69
65
Penalty EPA
-10.56
-7.00
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-10.0
Current
-13.0
Model
-13.0
Win Probability
Market84.9%
Model84.9%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+290
Home nfelo
1,705
Away nfelo
1,497
Home Field
+45.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+36.2
Home QB Adjustment
-5.0
Away QB Adjustment
-41.2
Market Regression
+43.8
Final Difference
300.0
Model Spread
-13.0
Quarterbacks
K. Clemens
Proj. Value
-2.5
Team Elo Adj
-41.2
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
-5.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
1
Yards / Game
30
1
Passing Yards / Game
31
5
Rushing Yards / Game
19
7
EPA
EPA / Play
22
1
EPA / Pass
23
1
EPA / Rush
27
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
16
Interceptions / Game
8
1
Fumbles / Game
22
13
Turnover EPA / Game
17
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
9
4th Down Efficiency
27
7
RZ Efficiency
26
2
Seahawks Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
12
Yards / Game
22
15
Passing Yards / Game
28
28
Rushing Yards / Game
4
9
EPA
EPA / Play
12
9
EPA / Pass
4
17
EPA / Rush
21
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
24
Interceptions / Game
2
19
Fumbles / Game
21
1
Turnover EPA / Game
29
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
16
4th Down Efficiency
19
22
RZ Efficiency
14
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U
Seahawks
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
3-7
O/U