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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. rams @ seahawks week 21, 2025

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

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    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
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    Projected and realized opponent quality
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LAR logo
LARRams
14-5
+2.5
TBD
Lumen Field
70°F
0
-2.5
SEASeahawks
15-3
SEA logo
TBD
Lumen Field
70°F
0

Model

Projected Winner
SEA logo
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-2.5
Model
-2.5

Win Probability

Market56.1%
Model56.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+92
Home nfelo
1,735
Away nfelo
1,647
Home Field
+24.4
Base HFA
+44.4
Divisional Adj
-20.0
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-29.3
Home QB Adjustment
-17.2
Away QB Adjustment
+12.1
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
42.6
Model Spread
-2.5

Quarterbacks

J. Stafford headshot

J. Stafford

Proj. Value
+1.9
Team Elo Adj
+12.1
Value
Ptile
11/16
-0.3
48
11/23
5.1
85
11/30
-2.9
30
12/07
6.8
92
12/14
3.0
73
12/18
12.3
99
12/29
-5.5
15
01/04
5.1
85
01/10
3.1
73
01/18
-7.2
8
S. Darnold headshot

S. Darnold

Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
-17.2
Value
Ptile
11/09
-3.0
29
11/16
-4.7
19
11/23
1.2
59
11/30
-7.7
6
12/07
2.7
70
12/14
-0.4
47
12/18
-2.3
35
12/28
-5.8
14
01/03
-2.7
32
01/17
-4.2
23

Team Matchup Ranks

Rams Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Rams logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
1
1
Yards / Game
1
3
Passing Yards / Game
5
5
Rushing Yards / Game
10
3

EPA

EPA / Play
3
2
EPA / Pass
3
4
EPA / Rush
10
1

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
22
27
Interceptions / Game
6
5
Fumbles / Game
16
5
Turnover EPA / Game
23
27

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
21
1
4th Down Efficiency
4
7
RZ Efficiency
7
4
Seahawks Offense vs Rams Defense
Seahawks logo
Rams logo

Total

Points / Game
2
10
Yards / Game
7
18
Passing Yards / Game
27
11
Rushing Yards / Game
7
11

EPA

EPA / Play
9
7
EPA / Pass
8
11
EPA / Rush
26
15

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
24
30
Interceptions / Game
26
6
Fumbles / Game
25
12
Turnover EPA / Game
3
28

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
16
10
4th Down Efficiency
13
10
RZ Efficiency
21
6

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

LAR logo

Rams

7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/16
2
W
L
U
11/23
27
W
W
U
11/30
-3
L
L
O
12/07
28
W
W
O
12/14
7
W
W
O
12/18
-1
L
W
O
12/29
-3
L
L
O
01/04
17
W
W
O
01/10
3
W
L
O
01/18
3
W
L
U
SEA logo

Seahawks

9-1
SU
7-3
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/09
22
W
W
O
11/16
-2
L
W
U
11/23
6
W
L
O
11/30
26
W
W
U
12/07
28
W
W
O
12/14
2
W
L
U
12/18
1
W
L
O
12/28
17
W
W
U
01/03
10
W
W
U
01/17
35
W
W
O