BALRavens
4-4
16
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
46°F
16 mph
0
CLEBrowns
1-7
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
46°F
16 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Ravens
0
0
10
0
10
Browns
0
0
0
0
0
Spread
-11.5
Total
UNDER
39.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
274
160
Total Plays
58
61
Yards / Play
4.7
2.6
EPA / Play
-0.10
-0.43
Passing Yards
140
74
Comp/Att
13/19(68%)
13/31(42%)
Yards / Pass
7.4
2.4
EPA / Pass
-0.02
-0.91
Rushing Yards
134
86
Rush Attempts
36
26
Yards / Rush
3.7
3.3
EPA / Rush
-0.03
-0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
11
Passing 1st downs
6
6
Rushing 1st downs
6
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
29%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
16
Red Zone %
50%
NaN%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
--
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-14.24
Sacks
3
4
Sack Yards
-15
-25
Sack EPA
-4.96
-6.93
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
43
52
Penalty EPA
-4.66
-8.12
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-12.0
Current
-11.5
Model
-10.5
Win Probability
Market83.2%
Model80.8%
Spread Pick
Browns+11.5
Expected Value
+3.4%
Cover Probability
54.1%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-218
Home nfelo
1,318
Away nfelo
1,623
Home Field
+74.0
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
+17.9
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+13.7
Home QB Adjustment
+21.4
Away QB Adjustment
+7.7
Market Regression
+0.6
Final Difference
-249.1
Model Spread
+10.5
Quarterbacks
J. Flacco
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+7.7
B. Quinn
Proj. Value
-4.9
Team Elo Adj
+21.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Ravens Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
21
Yards / Game
14
31
Passing Yards / Game
19
28
Rushing Yards / Game
4
28
EPA
EPA / Play
11
24
EPA / Pass
14
29
EPA / Rush
4
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
23
Interceptions / Game
13
29
Fumbles / Game
6
28
Turnover EPA / Game
27
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
17
4th Down Efficiency
24
15
RZ Efficiency
15
4
Browns Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
2
Yards / Game
32
2
Passing Yards / Game
30
14
Rushing Yards / Game
8
3
EPA
EPA / Play
27
4
EPA / Pass
32
3
EPA / Rush
15
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
17
Interceptions / Game
22
5
Fumbles / Game
25
11
Turnover EPA / Game
6
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
8
4th Down Efficiency
4
10
RZ Efficiency
28
7
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Ravens
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
4-4-2
O/U
Browns
1-9
SU
3-7
ATS
3-5-2
O/U