BALRavens
1-0
31
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
83°F
8 mph
26
LACChargers
1-0
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
83°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Ravens
7
14
7
3
31
Chargers
10
6
7
3
26
Spread
+0
Total
OVER
40
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
311
474
Total Plays
60
68
Yards / Play
5.2
7.0
EPA / Play
+0.24
+0.11
Passing Yards
181
421
Comp/Att
18/27(67%)
25/45(56%)
Yards / Pass
6.7
9.4
EPA / Pass
+0.06
+0.23
Rushing Yards
130
53
Rush Attempts
32
21
Yards / Rush
4.1
2.5
EPA / Rush
+0.09
-0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
20
Passing 1st downs
11
14
Rushing 1st downs
9
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
36%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
4
7
3rd Down Attempts
11
16
Red Zone %
75%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
3
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-4.84
-7.70
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-9
-15
Sack EPA
-1.22
-3.72
Penalties
4
12
Penalty Yards
32
85
Penalty EPA
-5.45
-11.47
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
+3.5
Current
N/A
Model
+2.0
Win Probability
Market50.0%
Model45.4%
Spread Pick
ChargersN/A
Expected Value
+0.8%
Cover Probability
52.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+67
Home nfelo
1,566
Away nfelo
1,611
Home Field
+106.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
+5.2
Home QB Adjustment
+6.9
Away QB Adjustment
+1.7
Market Regression
-56.8
Final Difference
31.9
Model Spread
-2.0
Quarterbacks
J. Flacco
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+1.7
P. Rivers
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+6.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Ravens Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
10
Yards / Game
14
12
Passing Yards / Game
19
26
Rushing Yards / Game
4
21
EPA
EPA / Play
11
23
EPA / Pass
14
19
EPA / Rush
4
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
25
Interceptions / Game
13
20
Fumbles / Game
6
14
Turnover EPA / Game
27
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
22
4th Down Efficiency
24
20
RZ Efficiency
15
18
Chargers Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
2
Yards / Game
10
2
Passing Yards / Game
4
14
Rushing Yards / Game
31
3
EPA
EPA / Play
1
4
EPA / Pass
1
3
EPA / Rush
28
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
17
Interceptions / Game
6
5
Fumbles / Game
3
11
Turnover EPA / Game
32
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
8
4th Down Efficiency
13
10
RZ Efficiency
10
7
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Ravens
8-2
SU
8-2
ATS
1-0-9
O/U
Chargers
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
1-0-9
O/U