nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. ravens @ chargers week 3, 2003

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

BAL logo
BALRavens
1-1
24
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
74°F
8 mph
10
LACChargers
0-2
LAC logo
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
74°F
8 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Ravens
7
3
14
0
24
Chargers
3
0
0
7
10

Game Statistics

General
Ravens logo
Chargers logo
Total Yards
249
389
Total Plays
54
76
Yards / Play
4.6
5.1
EPA / Play
+0.18
-0.09
Passing Yards
97
257
Comp/Att
12/21(57%)
28/45(62%)
Yards / Pass
4.6
5.7
EPA / Pass
+0.03
-0.16
Rushing Yards
152
132
Rush Attempts
32
30
Yards / Rush
4.8
4.4
EPA / Rush
+0.21
+0.13
Downs & Conversions
Ravens logo
Chargers logo
1st Downs
16
25
Passing 1st downs
6
14
Rushing 1st downs
9
10
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
33%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
9
15
Red Zone %
100%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Ravens logo
Chargers logo
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
3
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-2.19
-11.29
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-1
-13
Sack EPA
-1.16
-2.40
Penalties
4
10
Penalty Yards
28
61
Penalty EPA
-1.87
-6.53

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
BAL logo
BALRavensFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Ravens Offense vs Chargers Defense
Ravens logo
Chargers logo

Total

Points / Game
8
31
Yards / Game
21
27
Passing Yards / Game
28
24
Rushing Yards / Game
2
26

EPA

EPA / Play
22
32
EPA / Pass
26
28
EPA / Rush
18
31

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
31
21
Interceptions / Game
24
25
Fumbles / Game
31
31
Turnover EPA / Game
8
4

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
28
31
4th Down Efficiency
4
22
RZ Efficiency
29
32
Chargers Offense vs Ravens Defense
Chargers logo
Ravens logo

Total

Points / Game
16
7
Yards / Game
16
3
Passing Yards / Game
25
6
Rushing Yards / Game
6
8

EPA

EPA / Play
12
1
EPA / Pass
20
1
EPA / Rush
4
3

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
10
12
Interceptions / Game
21
3
Fumbles / Game
23
6
Turnover EPA / Game
10
29

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
29
2
4th Down Efficiency
14
2
RZ Efficiency
22
14

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

BAL logo

Ravens

5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/10
11
W
W
P
11/17
-19
L
L
P
11/24
1
W
W
P
12/01
4
W
W
P
12/08
-12
L
L
P
12/15
4
W
W
P
12/22
-1
L
L
P
12/29
-3
L
W
P
09/07
-19
L
L
P
09/14
20
W
W
P
LAC logo

Chargers

2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/10
-4
L
W
P
11/17
3
W
W
P
11/24
-27
L
L
P
12/01
3
W
W
P
12/08
-20
L
L
P
12/15
-7
L
L
P
12/22
-2
L
L
P
12/29
-3
L
L
P
09/07
-13
L
L
P
09/14
-24
L
L
P