BALRavens
3-2
20
TBD
MetLife Stadium
70°F
024
NYGGiants
4-1
TBD
MetLife Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Ravens
0
10
3
7
20
Giants
0
7
3
14
24
Spread
+5.5
Total
UNDER
46
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
406
238
Total Plays
58
62
Yards / Play
7.0
3.8
EPA / Play
+0.01
+0.05
Passing Yards
195
155
Comp/Att
17/32(53%)
19/27(70%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
5.7
EPA / Pass
-0.05
+0.38
Rushing Yards
211
83
Rush Attempts
24
31
Yards / Rush
8.8
2.7
EPA / Rush
+0.36
-0.28
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
18
Passing 1st downs
13
11
Rushing 1st downs
10
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
40%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
4
7
3rd Down Attempts
10
14
Red Zone %
33%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-10.99
-0.29
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-15
-18
Sack EPA
-5.73
-4.33
Penalties
10
3
Penalty Yards
74
--
Penalty EPA
-8.76
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-5.5
Current
-5.5
Model
-5.5
Win Probability
Market68.5%
Model68.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-161
Home nfelo
1,377
Away nfelo
1,586
Home Field
+52.6
Base HFA
+39.0
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.6
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-4.9
Home QB Adjustment
+13.2
Away QB Adjustment
+18.1
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-135.0
Model Spread
+5.5
Quarterbacks
L. Jackson
Proj. Value
+5.8
Team Elo Adj
+18.1
D. Jones
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
+13.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Ravens Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
22
Yards / Game
16
25
Passing Yards / Game
28
2
Rushing Yards / Game
3
28
EPA
EPA / Play
12
31
EPA / Pass
21
21
EPA / Rush
5
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
5
Interceptions / Game
16
32
Fumbles / Game
18
3
Turnover EPA / Game
18
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
5
4th Down Efficiency
25
29
RZ Efficiency
30
10
Giants Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
3
Yards / Game
19
6
Passing Yards / Game
25
31
Rushing Yards / Game
6
3
EPA
EPA / Play
8
11
EPA / Pass
17
18
EPA / Rush
3
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
21
Interceptions / Game
1
16
Fumbles / Game
10
7
Turnover EPA / Game
32
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
4
4th Down Efficiency
16
28
RZ Efficiency
5
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Ravens
3-7
SU
5-4-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Giants
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U